Region = CT 2  SWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Ward             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3168488    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Bethel                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 0-12, 74.5)    11- 1   
 409 A Xavier-Middletown      CT 1  SCIAC   (12- 6, 83.5)     5- 8   
 414 A Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (12- 6, 90.2)     1-17   
 421 A Pomperaug-Southbury    CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 4-12, 83.5)     9- 2   
 425 A West Haven             CT 2  SCIAC   ( 6-11, 83.7)     6- 7  o
 428 H Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 95.4)     5-10   
 503 H Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (14- 5, 97.2)     6- 8   
 505 A New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (16- 6, 96.5)     6-14   
 509 A Immaculate Danbury     CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8- 8, 90.0)     7- 6   
 510 A Old Lyme               CT 2  Indep   (15- 1, 99.9)     4- 7   
 512 H Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 93.8)     6- 7   
 514 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)     9-18   
 516 H Stamford               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 0-16, 75.5)    15- 9   
 517 H Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 83.9)     8- 6   
 519 H New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 92.6)    17-18  o
 523 A Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 6-10, 84.7)    10- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Bethel                 11- 1      10    13           0.00
   409 A Xavier-Middletown       5- 8      -3     2          n/a  
   414 A Barlow-Redding          1-17     -16    -4          n/a  
   421 A Pomperaug-Southbury     9- 2       7     2    ++     4.01
   425 A West Haven              6- 7  o   -1     2    -     -3.78
   428 H Weston                  5-10      -5    -7    +      2.52
   503 H Masuk-Monroe            6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.31
   505 A New Fairfield           6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   509 A Immaculate Danbury      7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.53
   510 A Old Lyme                4- 7      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   512 H Brookfield              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.92
   514 H Guilford                9-18      -9     7          n/a  
   516 H Stamford               15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   517 H Amity Regional          8- 6       2     4          n/a  
   519 H New Milford            17-18  o   -1    -4    +      3.69
   523 A Stonington             10- 7       3     1           1.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Guilford                9-18      -9     7    ---        
   409 A Xavier-Middletown       5- 8      -3     2    --         
   414 A Barlow-Redding          1-17     -16    -4    --         
   516 H Stamford               15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   425 A West Haven              6- 7  o   -1     2    -     -3.78
   517 H Amity Regional          8- 6       2     4    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Masuk-Monroe            6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.31
   510 A Old Lyme                4- 7      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   421 A Pomperaug-Southbury     9- 2       7     2    ++     4.01
   509 A Immaculate Danbury      7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.53
   512 H Brookfield              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.92
   428 H Weston                  5-10      -5    -7    +      2.52
   505 A New Fairfield           6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   519 H New Milford            17-18  o   -1    -4    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.19 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.38 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
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