Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Mike Vorgang          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 85.5)    10- 5   
 407 H Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 80.5)     9- 2   
 409 H Hendrick Hudson        NY B  Sec 1   (10-10, 93.0)    11- 4   
 412 H Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 88.0)    15- 1   
 414 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 75.9)    13- 1   
 418 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (15- 6, 87.9)    13- 3   
 422 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 80.5)    11- 4   
 423 H Duxbury                MA 1          (23- 1, 99.9)     9- 7   
 426 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (10- 9, 85.4)    13- 1   
 428 N Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 77.9)    19- 2   
 502 A LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   (10- 9, 77.0)    18- 1   
 505 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (10- 7, 83.8)    17- 2   
 507 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 85.5)    13- 3   
 510 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 78.2)    15- 3   
 512 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (10- 9, 85.4)    15- 6   
 514 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (15- 6, 87.9)    13- 1   
 518 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   (10- 9, 77.0)    26- 2   
 520 N Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 88.0)    15- 2   
 525 N Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (15- 6, 87.9)    19- 5   
 528 N Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (16- 4, 95.7)    18- 1   
 531 N Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (17- 4, 99.4)    11- 6   
 602 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)    11- 6   
 604 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (22- 0, 99.9)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Shenendehowa           10- 5       5    14    --    -5.00
   407 H Saratoga Spgs           9- 2       7    19    -     -3.00
   409 H Hendrick Hudson        11- 4       7     7          n/a  
   412 H Christian Bros         15- 1      14    12           0.00
   414 A Columbia               13- 1      12    23           0.00
   418 A Guilderland            13- 3      10    11           0.00
   422 A Saratoga Spgs          11- 4       7    19    -     -3.00
   423 H Duxbury                 9- 7       2     0          n/a  
   426 A Shaker                 13- 1      12    14           0.00
   428 N Colonie                19- 2      17    22           0.00
   502 A LaSalle Institute      18- 1      17    22           0.00
   505 H Bethlehem              17- 2      15    16           0.00
   507 A Shenendehowa           13- 3      10    14           0.00
   510 A Ballston Spa           15- 3      12    21           0.00
   512 H Shaker                 15- 6       9    14          -1.00
   514 H Guilderland            13- 1      12    12           0.00
   518 H LaSalle Institute      26- 2      24    23           0.00
   520 N Christian Bros         15- 2      13    11           0.00
   525 N Guilderland            19- 5      14    11           0.00
   528 N Pine Bush              18- 1      17     4          n/a  
   531 N Yorktown               11- 6       5     0          n/a  
   602 N West Islip             11- 6       5     0          n/a  
   604 N West Genesee            2-15     -13     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   604 N West Genesee            2-15     -13     0    ---        
   405 H Shenendehowa           10- 5       5    14    --    -5.00
   407 H Saratoga Spgs           9- 2       7    19    -     -3.00
   422 A Saratoga Spgs          11- 4       7    19    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   528 N Pine Bush              18- 1      17     4    ++         
   531 N Yorktown               11- 6       5     0    ++         
   602 N West Islip             11- 6       5     0    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.56 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   88.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.370.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    3.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 22- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  9- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 14- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 17- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   12.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/