Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Shiffert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7282410    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 97.2)     6-11   
 414 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (12- 8, 83.5)    12- 5   
 419 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 84.9)    11- 6   
 421 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-19, 63.0)    18- 1   
 425 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-17, 67.9)    16- 2   
 427 H St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (18- 2, 94.1)     7-10   
 430 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-14, 76.7)    19- 8   
 503 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.4)     8- 7   
 505 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-12, 79.7)    17- 8   
 509 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 82.1)    11- 9   
 511 A Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (13- 8, 89.9)     6-14   
 513 H Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 93.7)    13-12   
 517 A Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 89.0)    14-10   
 519 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 80.7)    13- 7   
 520 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.4)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Hamburg                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.01
   414 A East Aurora            12- 5       7     5           1.24
   419 H Grand Island           11- 6       5     6          -1.02
   421 H Akron                  18- 1      17    27           0.00
   425 H Medina                 16- 2      14    23           0.00
   427 H St Francis              7-10      -3    -3           0.12
   430 A Gowanda                19- 8      11    12           0.00
   503 H Frontier                8- 7       1     0           0.50
   505 A Silver Creek           17- 8       9     9          -0.47
   509 A St Joseph Collegiate   11- 9       2     7    --    -5.14
   511 A Timon St Jude           6-14      -8     0    ---   -7.36
   513 H Nichols                13-12       1    -2    +      3.76
   517 A Canisius               14-10       4     0    +      3.83
   519 H Salamanca              13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   520 A Frontier                5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Timon St Jude           6-14      -8     0    ---   -7.36
   509 A St Joseph Collegiate   11- 9       2     7    --    -5.14
   519 H Salamanca              13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   520 A Frontier                5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Hamburg                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.01
   513 H Nichols                13-12       1    -2    +      3.76
   517 A Canisius               14-10       4     0    +      3.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.08 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.56 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/