Region = CT 2  SWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Green Wave           Coach  =   Tim Oelgoetz          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8101654    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 3-14, 75.4)    18-10   
 409 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 92.2)     6-16   
 414 A Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 95.4)    10-16   
 416 H Housatonic Valley      CT 2  Indep   ( 4-11, 84.1)    17- 6   
 421 H Immaculate Danbury     CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8- 8, 90.0)    16- 9   
 423 A Bethel                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 0-12, 74.5)    16- 4   
 426 A Westhill               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 3-13, 79.7)    15- 9   
 428 H Pomperaug-Southbury    CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 4-12, 83.5)    14- 2   
 503 H Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (12- 6, 90.2)     6-14   
 505 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (14- 5, 97.2)    10-15   
 507 H Newington              CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 75.3)    13- 5   
 510 A Mills-Burlington       CT 2  Indep   ( 0-10, 69.4)    20- 0   
 512 H New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (16- 6, 96.5)    10-12   
 514 H Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 93.8)    10-15   
 517 H Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 9- 9, 87.9)     8- 4   
 519 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 87.2)    18-17  o
 604 A Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 95.4)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Newtown                18-10       8    18          n/a  
   409 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   6-16     -10     0          n/a  
   414 A Weston                 10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.43
   416 H Housatonic Valley      17- 6      11     9           0.73
   421 H Immaculate Danbury     16- 9       7     3    +      3.62
   423 A Bethel                 16- 4      12    17           0.00
   426 A Westhill               15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   428 H Pomperaug-Southbury    14- 2      12     9           0.10
   503 H Barlow-Redding          6-14      -8     3          n/a  
   505 A Masuk-Monroe           10-15      -5    -5           0.36
   507 H Newington              13- 5       8    18          n/a  
   510 A Mills-Burlington       20- 0      20    22           0.00
   512 H New Fairfield          10-12      -2    -3           1.18
   514 H Brookfield             10-15      -5     0    --    -4.51
   517 H Avon HS                 8- 4       4     5          -1.49
   519 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   18-17  o    1     4    -     -3.69
   604 A Weston                  9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   6-16     -10     0    ---        
   503 H Barlow-Redding          6-14      -8     3    ---        
   426 A Westhill               15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   514 H Brookfield             10-15      -5     0    --    -4.51
   407 H Newtown                18-10       8    18    -          
   414 A Weston                 10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.43
   507 H Newington              13- 5       8    18    -          
   519 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   18-17  o    1     4    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Immaculate Danbury     16- 9       7     3    +      3.62
   604 A Weston                  9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.61 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.54 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/