Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 9-10, 88.9)    10- 3   
 408 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 2-14, 76.7)    15- 2   
 412 A East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 9- 7, 90.2)     8- 1   
 414 A Suffield Academy       NE 2  West    ( 3-13, 83.0)    11- 7   
 416 A Algonquin              MA 2          (13- 9, 94.9)     9- 6   
 419 H West Springfield       MA 2          ( 5-11, 85.9)    16- 6   
 423 H Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 4-10, 84.3)    16- 6   
 426 H South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 7, 95.5)    10- 7   
 428 H Agawam                 MA 2          ( 9-10, 88.9)    11- 4   
 504 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (17- 4, 99.9)    16- 6   
 505 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (14- 5, 96.0)     9- 8 5o
 510 A Longmeadow             MA 2          (14- 6, 96.1)     8- 4   
 513 A Northampton            MA 2          ( 4-14, 82.2)    15- 3   
 517 H Northampton            MA 2          ( 4-14, 82.2)    15- 7   
 519 A South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 7, 95.5)     7- 8  o
 524 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (14- 5, 96.0)     7- 8   
 527 H Longmeadow             MA 2          (14- 6, 96.1)     7- 9   
 602 H Westfield              MA 2          (12- 8, 93.8)     9- 8   
 606 H Agawam                 MA 2          ( 9-10, 88.9)    12- 6   
 608 N South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 7, 95.5)     4- 3   
 611 N Longmeadow             MA 2          (14- 6, 96.1)     5- 4   
 615 A Algonquin              MA 2          (13- 9, 94.9)    12- 5   
 618 H Wellesley              MA 2          (22- 2, 91.7)     6- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Agawam                 10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   408 H Cathedral Springfield  15- 2      13    23           0.00
   412 A East Longmeadow         8- 1       7     9    -     -2.23
   414 A Suffield Academy       11- 7       4    16          n/a  
   416 A Algonquin               9- 6       3     4          n/a  
   419 H West Springfield       16- 6      10    14           0.00
   423 H Williston Northampton  16- 6      10    15          n/a  
   426 H South Hadley           10- 7       3     4          -1.92
   428 H Agawam                 11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   504 H St Johns Shrewsbury    16- 6      10     0          n/a  
   505 H Amherst-Pelham          9- 8 5o    1     4    -     -3.41
   510 A Longmeadow              8- 4       4     3           0.73
   513 A Northampton            15- 3      12    17           0.00
   517 H Northampton            15- 7       8    18    -     -2.00
   519 A South Hadley            7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.90
   524 A Amherst-Pelham          7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.38
   527 H Longmeadow              7- 9      -2     4    ---   -6.29
   602 H Westfield               9- 8       1     6    --    -5.66
   606 H Agawam                 12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   608 N South Hadley            4- 3       1     4    -     -3.41
   611 N Longmeadow              5- 4       1     3    -     -2.78
   615 A Algonquin              12- 5       7     4          n/a  
   618 H Wellesley               6- 5       1     8          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Suffield Academy       11- 7       4    16    ---        
   527 H Longmeadow              7- 9      -2     4    ---   -6.29
   618 H Wellesley               6- 5       1     8    ---        
   519 A South Hadley            7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.90
   524 A Amherst-Pelham          7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.38
   602 H Westfield               9- 8       1     6    --    -5.66
   606 H Agawam                 12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   405 A Agawam                 10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   412 A East Longmeadow         8- 1       7     9    -     -2.23
   428 H Agawam                 11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   505 H Amherst-Pelham          9- 8 5o    1     4    -     -3.41
   517 H Northampton            15- 7       8    18    -     -2.00
   608 N South Hadley            4- 3       1     4    -     -3.41
   611 N Longmeadow              5- 4       1     3    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H St Johns Shrewsbury    16- 6      10     0    +++        
   615 A Algonquin              12- 5       7     4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.65 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   31.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.295.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/