Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-II           
   Nickname = J Warriors             Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0836029    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-14, 65.7)    16- 2   
 407 H Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 7, 78.9)    14- 5   
 408 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 8, 74.7)     9-10   
 412 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 4, 89.8)     2- 9   
 414 H Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-II  ( 2-11, 64.1)    14- 2   
 416 H Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9-10, 75.0)    10- 3   
 419 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 82.1)     3- 8   
 421 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-10, 68.2)    15- 2   
 425 H Toms River East        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 7, 74.5)    14- 3   
 428 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-10, 70.1)    12- 1   
 430 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 86.1)     4-10   
 502 H AL Johnson/Clark       NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-14, 75.5)     7- 5   
 505 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1)    16- 4   
 510 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 71.6)    16- 5   
 511 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-II  ( 2-10, 61.2)    21- 2   
 513 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-I   ( 5-11, 69.9)    12- 2   
 516 H Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 8, 74.7)     9- 3   
 518 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 82.1)    13- 7   
 521 N Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 4, 89.8)     5-15   
 525 A Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (10- 8, 88.0)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Red Bank Catholic      16- 2      14    16           0.00
   407 H Howell                 14- 5       9     5    +      3.58
   408 A Toms River North        9-10      -1     7    ---   -8.60
   412 A Christian Bros          2- 9      -7    -7           0.40
   414 H Colt's Neck            14- 2      12    20           0.00
   416 H Jackson Memorial       10- 3       7     9    -     -2.25
   419 H Rumson-Fair Haven       3- 8      -5     2    ---   -7.14
   421 H Monsignor Donovan      15- 2      13    16           0.00
   425 H Toms River East        14- 3      11     9           0.23
   428 A Freehold Township      12- 1      11    12           0.00
   430 A Don Bosco Prep          4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.25
   502 H AL Johnson/Clark        7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.83
   505 H Toms River South       16- 4      12     8           1.81
   510 H Southern Regional      16- 5      11    12           0.00
   511 A St John Vianney        21- 2      19    21           0.00
   513 H St Rose Belmar         12- 2      10    14           0.00
   516 H Toms River North        9- 3       6     9    -     -3.54
   518 H Rumson-Fair Haven      13- 7       6     2    +      3.86
   521 N Christian Bros          5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.56
   525 A Moorestown              7-13      -6    -5          -0.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Toms River North        9-10      -1     7    ---   -8.60
   419 H Rumson-Fair Haven       3- 8      -5     2    ---   -7.14
   502 H AL Johnson/Clark        7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.83
   416 H Jackson Memorial       10- 3       7     9    -     -2.25
   430 A Don Bosco Prep          4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.25
   516 H Toms River North        9- 3       6     9    -     -3.54
   521 N Christian Bros          5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Howell                 14- 5       9     5    +      3.58
   518 H Rumson-Fair Haven      13- 7       6     2    +      3.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.32 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.29 Local SOS Rank.............    81
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    62
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/