Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-II Nickname = J Warriors Coach = Mike DowdGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.0836029 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-II ( 5-14, 65.7) 16- 2 407 H Howell NJ Grp-IV (13- 7, 78.9) 14- 5 408 A Toms River North NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 8, 74.7) 9-10 412 A Christian Bros NJ Grp-IV (18- 4, 89.8) 2- 9 414 H Colt's Neck NJ Grp-II ( 2-11, 64.1) 14- 2 416 H Jackson Memorial NJ Grp-IV ( 9-10, 75.0) 10- 3 419 H Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (14- 5, 82.1) 3- 8 421 H Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-II ( 3-10, 68.2) 15- 2 425 H Toms River East NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 7, 74.5) 14- 3 428 A Freehold Township NJ Grp-IV ( 5-10, 70.1) 12- 1 430 A Don Bosco Prep NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 86.1) 4-10 502 H AL Johnson/Clark NJ Grp-II ( 3-14, 75.5) 7- 5 505 H Toms River South NJ Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1) 16- 4 510 H Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV ( 5-11, 71.6) 16- 5 511 A St John Vianney NJ Grp-II ( 2-10, 61.2) 21- 2 513 H St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-I ( 5-11, 69.9) 12- 2 516 H Toms River North NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 8, 74.7) 9- 3 518 H Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (14- 5, 82.1) 13- 7 521 N Christian Bros NJ Grp-IV (18- 4, 89.8) 5-15 525 A Moorestown NJ Grp-II (10- 8, 88.0) 7-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Red Bank Catholic 16- 2 14 16 0.00 407 H Howell 14- 5 9 5 + 3.58 408 A Toms River North 9-10 -1 7 --- -8.60 412 A Christian Bros 2- 9 -7 -7 0.40 414 H Colt's Neck 14- 2 12 20 0.00 416 H Jackson Memorial 10- 3 7 9 - -2.25 419 H Rumson-Fair Haven 3- 8 -5 2 --- -7.14 421 H Monsignor Donovan 15- 2 13 16 0.00 425 H Toms River East 14- 3 11 9 0.23 428 A Freehold Township 12- 1 11 12 0.00 430 A Don Bosco Prep 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.25 502 H AL Johnson/Clark 7- 5 2 8 --- -6.83 505 H Toms River South 16- 4 12 8 1.81 510 H Southern Regional 16- 5 11 12 0.00 511 A St John Vianney 21- 2 19 21 0.00 513 H St Rose Belmar 12- 2 10 14 0.00 516 H Toms River North 9- 3 6 9 - -3.54 518 H Rumson-Fair Haven 13- 7 6 2 + 3.86 521 N Christian Bros 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.56 525 A Moorestown 7-13 -6 -5 -0.31UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Toms River North 9-10 -1 7 --- -8.60 419 H Rumson-Fair Haven 3- 8 -5 2 --- -7.14 502 H AL Johnson/Clark 7- 5 2 8 --- -6.83 416 H Jackson Memorial 10- 3 7 9 - -2.25 430 A Don Bosco Prep 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.25 516 H Toms River North 9- 3 6 9 - -3.54 521 N Christian Bros 5-15 -10 -6 - -3.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Howell 14- 5 9 5 + 3.58 518 H Rumson-Fair Haven 13- 7 6 2 + 3.86/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.32 Local Power Rank........... 43 Local SOS Rating......... 51.29 Local SOS Rank............. 81 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 62 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 42 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3