Conf =  Catholic                  Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Mazzei           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0804977    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H St Peters Marian       MA 2          ( 8-11, 87.1)    12- 0   
 408 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 5-11, 75.7)    14- 0   
 412 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (14- 5, 86.7)     9- 4   
 414 H Boston College HS      MA 1          ( 4-12, 77.4)     9- 5   
 416 A Xaverian               NY    Cathlc  ( 0-12, 68.6)    12- 0   
 421 A Medfield               MA 3          (22- 2, 91.7)     4- 9   
 426 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (12- 8, 87.1)     6-11   
 428 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          ( 4-11, 73.3)     8- 7   
 503 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 5-11, 75.7)     5- 4   
 505 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (14- 5, 86.7)     4- 7   
 510 A Boston College HS      MA 1          ( 4-12, 77.4)     6- 5   
 512 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (12- 8, 87.1)     5- 4   
 514 H Arlington              MA 2          (11- 7, 79.7)     6- 5   
 516 A Peabody                MA 1          ( 4-14, 74.3)     6- 3   
 518 H King Philip            MA 2          ( 7-10, 70.3)    13- 7   
 523 A Beverly                MA 1          (12- 6, 84.6)    15-14 2o
 525 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (17- 4, 99.9)     3-16   
 604 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (12- 8, 87.1)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H St Peters Marian       12- 0      12    -1          n/a  
   408 H Catholic Memorial      14- 0      14    10           0.00
   412 A Xaverian Bros           9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.42
   414 H Boston College HS       9- 5       4     8    --    -4.41
   416 A Xaverian               12- 0      12    15          n/a  
   421 A Medfield                4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.38
   426 A St Johns Prep Danvers   6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.17
   428 H Hamilton-Wenham         8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   503 A Catholic Memorial       5- 4       1     8    ---   -7.59
   505 H Xaverian Bros           4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.04
   510 A Boston College HS       6- 5       1     6    --    -5.95
   512 H St Johns Prep Danvers   5- 4       1    -1    +      2.36
   514 H Arlington               6- 5       1     6    --    -5.12
   516 A Peabody                 6- 3       3    10    ---   -7.00
   518 H King Philip            13- 7       6    15    --    -4.00
   523 A Beverly                15-14 2o    1     0           1.26
   525 H St Johns Shrewsbury     3-16     -13   -14          n/a  
   604 H St Johns Prep Danvers   7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Hamilton-Wenham         8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   503 A Catholic Memorial       5- 4       1     8    ---   -7.59
   516 A Peabody                 6- 3       3    10    ---   -7.00
   414 H Boston College HS       9- 5       4     8    --    -4.41
   510 A Boston College HS       6- 5       1     6    --    -5.95
   514 H Arlington               6- 5       1     6    --    -5.12
   518 H King Philip            13- 7       6    15    --    -4.00
   426 A St Johns Prep Danvers   6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.17
   505 H Xaverian Bros           4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.04
   604 H St Johns Prep Danvers   7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H St Peters Marian       12- 0      12    -1    +++        
   412 A Xaverian Bros           9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.42
   421 A Medfield                4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.38
   512 H St Johns Prep Danvers   5- 4       1    -1    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.05 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.40 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    65
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/