Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Larry Thomas          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.6465225    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10-11, 71.7)    11- 4   
 408 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 7, 77.1)     5- 1   
 414 A Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 64.4)     9- 1   
 416 H Red Lion               PA    York 1  (13- 5, 84.8)     5- 9   
 418 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 85.0)     3- 4   
 421 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-12, 75.1)    13-10   
 428 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (12- 8, 80.6)    12- 2   
 503 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 8, 77.7)     9- 2   
 507 H Central Susquehanna    PA    CSNLL   ( 9- 5, 78.2)     1- 0   
 510 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (15- 5, 92.7)     0-17   
 512 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 4-11, 70.1)    14- 0   
 514 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 82.0)     2- 8   
 517 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 0-14, 63.4)    12- 4   
 520 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10-11, 71.7)     7- 6   
 527 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (23- 5, 99.9)     2-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Palmyra                11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   408 A Central Dauphin East    5- 1       4     3           0.15
   414 A Cocalico                9- 1       8    16    -     -2.00
   416 H Red Lion                5- 9      -4    -2          -1.40
   418 H Cumberland Valley       3- 4      -1    -2           1.81
   421 H Conestoga Valley       13-10       3     7    --    -4.09
   428 A Warwick                12- 2      10     0    +++    9.66
   503 H Central Dauphin         9- 2       7     4    +      2.49
   510 A Carlisle                0-17     -17   -11           0.00
   512 A Harrisburg Academy     14- 0      14    10           0.00
   514 H Hershey                 2- 8      -6     0    ---   -6.27
   517 A Bishop McDevitt        12- 4       8    17    -     -2.00
   520 A Palmyra                 7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.20
   527 A Hempfield               2-21     -19   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Hershey                 2- 8      -6     0    ---   -6.27
   520 A Palmyra                 7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.20
   421 H Conestoga Valley       13-10       3     7    --    -4.09
   405 H Palmyra                11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   414 A Cocalico                9- 1       8    16    -     -2.00
   517 A Bishop McDevitt        12- 4       8    17    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Warwick                12- 2      10     0    +++    9.66
   503 H Central Dauphin         9- 2       7     4    +      2.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.58 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.76 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/