Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Ron Quinto            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5042191    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (23- 5, 99.9)     3-18   
 331 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 85.0)     3-12   
 401 H Central Bucks East     PA    SubOne  (18- 3, 91.4)     5-14   
 406 H Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (13- 7, 87.5)     3-16   
 409 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 85.0)     7- 8  o
 412 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 7- 8, 79.8)    11- 8   
 414 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-12, 75.1)    10- 4   
 419 H Wyoming Seminary       PA    Indep   ( 8- 9, 77.4)     4- 8   
 422 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (18- 4, 95.7)     3-21   
 426 A Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (13- 7, 87.5)     2-14   
 428 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 82.0)     3- 5   
 504 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (23- 5, 99.9)     1-17   
 506 A Wyoming Seminary       PA    Indep   ( 8- 9, 77.4)     6- 5  o
 510 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 7- 8, 79.8)     6- 8   
 513 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-12, 75.1)    12-16   
 516 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 4-11, 70.1)    19- 7   
 517 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 85.0)     5-15   
 519 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (18- 4, 95.7)     4-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Hempfield               3-18     -15   -25           0.00
   331 A Cumberland Valley       3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   401 H Central Bucks East      5-14      -9   -14          n/a  
   406 H Lancaster Country Day   3-16     -13   -11           0.00
   409 H Ephrata                 7- 8  o   -1    -8    +++    7.84
   412 A Penn Manor             11- 8       3    -4    +++    7.87
   414 A Conestoga Valley       10- 4       6     0    +++    6.23
   419 H Wyoming Seminary        4- 8      -4    -1          n/a  
   422 A Manheim Township        3-21     -18   -20           0.00
   426 A Lancaster Country Day   2-14     -12   -12           0.00
   428 A Hershey                 3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.05
   504 H Hempfield               1-17     -16   -23           0.00
   506 A Wyoming Seminary        6- 5  o    1    -2          n/a  
   510 H Penn Manor              6- 8      -2    -3           1.57
   513 H Conestoga Valley       12-16      -4     1    --    -5.06
   516 H Harrisburg Academy     19- 7      12     6    +      3.89
   517 A Ephrata                 5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   519 H Manheim Township        4-18     -14   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Conestoga Valley       12-16      -4     1    --    -5.06
   419 H Wyoming Seminary        4- 8      -4    -1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Ephrata                 7- 8  o   -1    -8    +++    7.84
   412 A Penn Manor             11- 8       3    -4    +++    7.87
   414 A Conestoga Valley       10- 4       6     0    +++    6.23
   428 A Hershey                 3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.05
   506 A Wyoming Seminary        6- 5  o    1    -2    +          
   516 H Harrisburg Academy     19- 7      12     6    +      3.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.55 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.81 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/