Conf =  Waterm                    Region = NJ    Grp-III          
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Brad Dzama            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.8393707    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 7, 89.6)     1-16   
 404 A Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 9, 83.1)     5-12   
 407 H Chatham                NJ    Grp-I   (13- 6, 90.1)     1-13   
 409 N Columbia               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 2-15, 73.5)     8- 9  o
 411 A Mendham                NJ    Grp-II  (10-10, 84.9)     4-15   
 413 A Randolph               NJ    Grp-III (12-10, 87.2)     3-14   
 415 H West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-II  (17- 6, 91.7)     3-14   
 419 A Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 87.7)     6-14   
 422 H Roxbury                NJ    Grp-III ( 6-13, 79.3)     5- 9   
 427 H Hanover Park           NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-15, 75.4)     6-12   
 429 A Pingry                 NJ    Grp-I   (12- 7, 87.4)     0-13   
 501 A Millburn               NJ    Grp-II  (13- 7, 81.9)     5-12   
 502 A Summit                 NJ    Grp-I   (20- 4, 94.9)     1-15   
 507 H Ridge                  NJ    Grp-III (15- 7, 88.9)     1-14   
 510 A Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (17- 3, 93.0)     6-15   
 513 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-I   ( 8-12, 79.8)     8-14   
 516 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-III (14- 7, 88.2)     4-14   
 517 A Morristown             NJ    Grp-III ( 3-16, 74.8)     8-10   
 519 H AL Johnson/Clark       NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-14, 75.5)    11- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Seton Hall Prep         1-16     -15   -19           0.00
   404 A Glen Ridge              5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   407 H Chatham                 1-13     -12   -17           0.00
   409 N Columbia                8- 9  o   -1    -2           1.30
   411 A Mendham                 4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   413 A Randolph                3-14     -11   -16           0.00
   415 H West Essex Regional     3-14     -11   -19           0.00
   419 A Morristown Beard        6-14      -8   -17    +      2.00
   422 H Roxbury                 5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.04
   427 H Hanover Park            6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.86
   429 A Pingry                  0-13     -13   -17           0.00
   501 A Millburn                5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   502 A Summit                  1-15     -14   -24           0.00
   507 H Ridge                   1-14     -13   -16           0.00
   510 A Madison Boro            6-15      -9   -22           1.00
   513 H Immaculata              8-14      -6    -7           1.59
   516 H West Morris Central     4-14     -10   -15           0.00
   517 A Morristown              8-10      -2    -4    +      2.51
   519 H AL Johnson/Clark       11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Hanover Park            6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H AL Johnson/Clark       11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.24
   404 A Glen Ridge              5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   419 A Morristown Beard        6-14      -8   -17    +      2.00
   422 H Roxbury                 5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.04
   501 A Millburn                5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   517 A Morristown              8-10      -2    -4    +      2.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.25 Local Power Rank...........    99
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.46 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............   110
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   120
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-18 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/