Region = VA    Lib              
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Grif Barhight         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.4862518    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 7- 7, 77.0)     6- 8   
 318 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 2-10, 71.1)     7- 8   
 319 H Edison                 VA    Natl    ( 2-13, 71.5)     5- 4   
 319 H George Mason           VA    Conc    ( 4- 7, 77.7)     3-10   
 406 H Centreville            VA    Conc    ( 3- 9, 78.7)     1-13   
 408 H South Lakes            VA    Lib     ( 2-10, 74.3)     2- 7   
 412 A Marshall               VA    Lib     ( 4- 8, 79.6)     4- 5   
 414 H Woodson                VA    Lib     (15- 2, 99.9)     3-15   
 418 A Langley                VA    Lib     (15- 3, 98.9)     0-19   
 422 H Madison                VA    Lib     ( 5- 7, 87.5)     3-19   
 428 A McLean                 VA    Lib     (10- 5, 92.6)     2-12   
 506 H Fairfax                VA    Lib     ( 8- 6, 91.6)     0-12   
 511 A Woodson                VA    Lib     (15- 2, 99.9)     1-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A J.E.B. Stuart           6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.83
   318 H Washington-Lee          7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.25
   319 H Edison                  5- 4       1     0           0.15
   319 H George Mason            3-10      -7    -5          -1.70
   406 H Centreville             1-13     -12    -6    -     -3.64
   408 H South Lakes             2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.09
   412 A Marshall                4- 5      -1    -9    +++    8.43
   414 H Woodson                 3-15     -12   -27           0.00
   418 A Langley                 0-19     -19   -28           0.00
   422 H Madison                 3-19     -16   -15           0.00
   428 A McLean                  2-12     -10   -22           0.00
   506 H Fairfax                 0-12     -12   -19           0.00
   511 A Woodson                 1-23     -22   -29           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Washington-Lee          7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.25
   406 H Centreville             1-13     -12    -6    -     -3.64
   408 H South Lakes             2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Marshall                4- 5      -1    -9    +++    8.43
   314 A J.E.B. Stuart           6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.28 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.81 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    2.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -14.7
/