Region = CT 2  ECIAC            
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Gary Weller           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7479401    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Newington              CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 75.3)    14- 5   
 409 A Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 8-10, 87.1)    11- 8   
 411 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-11, 73.3)    11- 2   
 412 H Old Lyme               CT 2  Indep   (15- 1, 99.9)     9-17   
 425 H Norwich Tech           CT 2  Indep   ( 0-14, 69.2)    13- 4   
 428 A Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 79.9)    15- 5   
 430 H St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-12, 75.4)    21- 4   
 503 H Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 78.0)    17- 3   
 505 H Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   (10- 8, 89.0)     6- 7   
 509 H Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 6-10, 84.7)    14-11   
 514 A Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 83.9)     7-11   
 516 A Fitch-Groton           CT 2  ECIAC   (12- 7, 90.3)     4-10   
 518 A East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)     7-11   
 521 H Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (17- 2, 92.7)     7-14   
 526 N East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)    10-14   
 604 A Northwest Catholic     CT 2  NWCIAC  (15- 6, 95.8)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Newington              14- 5       9    10          n/a  
   409 A Morgan-Clinton         11- 8       3     0    +      3.92
   411 H Wheeler-No Stonington  11- 2       9    14          -1.00
   412 H Old Lyme                9-17      -8   -12    +      2.00
   425 H Norwich Tech           13- 4       9    18          -1.00
   428 A Norwich Free Academy   15- 5      10     6    +      3.74
   430 H St Bernard             21- 4      17    12           0.00
   503 H Woodstock Academy      17- 3      14     9           0.36
   505 H Hamden                  6- 7      -1    -1           0.37
   509 H Stonington             14-11       3     3          -0.01
   514 A Amity Regional          7-11      -4     2          n/a  
   516 A Fitch-Groton            4-10      -6    -4          -1.90
   518 A East Lyme               7-11      -4     4          n/a  
   521 H Branford                7-14      -7    -4          n/a  
   526 N East Lyme              10-14      -4     5          n/a  
   604 A Northwest Catholic      3-15     -12    -9          -0.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Amity Regional          7-11      -4     2    ---        
   518 A East Lyme               7-11      -4     4    ---        
   526 N East Lyme              10-14      -4     5    ---        
   521 H Branford                7-14      -7    -4    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Morgan-Clinton         11- 8       3     0    +      3.92
   412 H Old Lyme                9-17      -8   -12    +      2.00
   428 A Norwich Free Academy   15- 5      10     6    +      3.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.93 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.99 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/