Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.6616211    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    ( 3-13, 81.4)    10- 9   
 318 N Mount Lebanon          PA    1DWEST  (15- 9, 98.7)    12- 3   
 319 N Severn                 MD A  MIAA    ( 7-10, 85.9)     9- 4   
 324 A St Paul's              MD A  MIAA    (13- 4, 93.0)     6- 7   
 326 N Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (17- 4, 99.4)    16- 8   
 329 H Haverford School       PA    IAC     (25- 5, 99.9)     8- 6   
 401 H Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    ( 8- 6, 88.4)     9- 8   
 403 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (10- 9, 84.4)     9- 5   
 404 A Woodson                VA    Lib     (15- 2, 99.9)    11- 2   
 408 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (17- 5, 92.6)     6- 3   
 411 H Westfield              VA    Conc    ( 9- 7, 92.5)    16- 3   
 416 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (10- 7, 84.4)    14- 5   
 419 H St Albans              DC    IAC     (11- 7, 86.9)     8- 4   
 422 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    ( 7-11, 86.4)    14- 2   
 426 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 93.7)    16- 6   
 429 A Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 6- 8, 81.3)    18- 3   
 502 A Oakton                 VA    Conc    (14- 4, 98.6)    15- 8   
 505 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (15- 3, 99.9)    12- 7   
 507 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (23- 5, 99.9)    15- 7   
 511 H St Albans              DC    IAC     (11- 7, 86.9)     9- 8   
 517 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (17- 5, 92.6)     7- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H St Mary's Annapolis    10- 9       1    15    ---   -9.00
   318 N Mount Lebanon          12- 3       9    -2          n/a  
   319 N Severn                  9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   324 A St Paul's               6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.18
   326 N Yorktown               16- 8       8    -3          n/a  
   329 H Haverford School        8- 6       2    -2          n/a  
   401 H Gilman                  9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.19
   403 H St Stephen/St Agnes     9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   404 A Woodson                11- 2       9    -4          n/a  
   408 H Georgetown Prep         6- 3       3     3          -0.96
   411 H Westfield              16- 3      13     4          n/a  
   416 A Bullis                 14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   419 H St Albans               8- 4       4     9    --    -5.66
   422 A St Johns DC            14- 2      12     8          n/a  
   426 H Gonzaga                16- 6      10     3          n/a  
   429 A Episcopal HS           18- 3      15    14           0.00
   502 A Oakton                 15- 8       7    -2          n/a  
   505 H DeMatha                12- 7       5    -2          n/a  
   507 H Hempfield              15- 7       8    -3          n/a  
   511 H St Albans               9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.66
   517 H Georgetown Prep         7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H St Mary's Annapolis    10- 9       1    15    ---   -9.00
   401 H Gilman                  9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.19
   403 H St Stephen/St Agnes     9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   511 H St Albans               9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.66
   319 N Severn                  9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   324 A St Paul's               6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.18
   419 H St Albans               8- 4       4     9    --    -5.66
   517 H Georgetown Prep         7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 N Mount Lebanon          12- 3       9    -2    +++        
   326 N Yorktown               16- 8       8    -3    +++        
   404 A Woodson                11- 2       9    -4    +++        
   426 H Gonzaga                16- 6      10     3    +++        
   502 A Oakton                 15- 8       7    -2    +++        
   505 H DeMatha                12- 7       5    -2    +++        
   507 H Hempfield              15- 7       8    -3    +++        
   329 H Haverford School        8- 6       2    -2    ++         
   411 H Westfield              16- 3      13     4    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.37 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.39 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/