Region = PA    3DWEST           
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Chris Spahn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.0109253    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Latrobe                PA    Indep   ( 0- 4, 64.8)    10- 1   
 406 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    3DWEST  (15- 2, 88.5)     0-10   
 408 A University             PA    3DWEST  ( 6-12, 74.7)     4-10   
 411 A Central Catholic       PA    2DWEST  (17- 6, 94.3)     3-15   
 412 H Latrobe                PA    Indep   ( 0- 4, 64.8)     6- 1   
 418 H Taylor Allderdice      PA    3DWEST  (12-10, 83.1)     1-18   
 420 A Butler Area            PA    2DWEST  ( 0-16, 66.9)     7- 6  o
 427 H Winchester Thurston    PA    3DWEST  ( 8- 7, 77.8)     5- 4 3o
 429 H Morgantown             PA    3DWEST  ( 5- 9, 77.4)     4- 8   
 501 H Canon-McMillan         PA    3DWEST  ( 3-11, 73.2)    11- 9   
 502 A Chartiers Valley       PA    3DWEST  ( 8-10, 78.2)     1- 8   
 504 H Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    3DWEST  (15- 2, 88.5)     1-12   
 509 H Erie-McDowell          PA    3DWEST  ( 6- 7, 79.2)     2- 8   
 511 A Vincentian Academy     PA    3DWEST  ( 2-10, 67.2)     9- 1   
 514 A Erie-Spears            PA    Indep   ( 4- 6, 73.2)    11- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Latrobe                10- 1       9     8           0.48
   406 A Greensburg Cath Cent    0-10     -10   -15           0.00
   408 A University              4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.60
   411 A Central Catholic        3-15     -12   -20           0.00
   412 H Latrobe                 6- 1       5    11    --    -5.00
   418 H Taylor Allderdice       1-18     -17    -6    -     -3.30
   420 A Butler Area             7- 6  o    1     6    --    -5.48
   427 H Winchester Thurston     5- 4 3o    1    -1    +      2.44
   429 H Morgantown              4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.02
   501 H Canon-McMillan         11- 9       2     3          -1.19
   502 A Chartiers Valley        1- 8      -7    -4    -     -2.18
   504 H Greensburg Cath Cent    1-12     -11   -12           0.00
   509 H Erie-McDowell           2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.17
   511 A Vincentian Academy      9- 1       8     6           1.89
   514 A Erie-Spears            11- 6       5     0    ++     4.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A University              4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.60
   412 H Latrobe                 6- 1       5    11    --    -5.00
   420 A Butler Area             7- 6  o    1     6    --    -5.48
   418 H Taylor Allderdice       1-18     -17    -6    -     -3.30
   429 H Morgantown              4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.02
   502 A Chartiers Valley        1- 8      -7    -4    -     -2.18
   509 H Erie-McDowell           2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Erie-Spears            11- 6       5     0    ++     4.84
   427 H Winchester Thurston     5- 4 3o    1    -1    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.86 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.93 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/