Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   Tony Tocco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.9003906    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 75.9)     4-11   
 401 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 78.2)     7- 8   
 405 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-13, 63.6)    14- 3   
 407 A Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-14, 77.0)    14- 3   
 409 H Saugerties             NY B  Sec 9   (11- 7, 87.2)    19- 7   
 412 H Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (16- 4, 95.7)     8- 7   
 414 A Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-10, 83.4)    13- 6   
 419 H Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (12- 5, 95.5)    13-15   
 421 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-14, 76.7)    13- 1   
 423 H Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-16, 75.7)    15- 2   
 426 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (16- 4, 95.7)     7- 6   
 428 H Wallkill               NY B  Sec 9   ( 3- 9, 82.4)    15- 3   
 505 H Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   ( 9- 7, 91.1)    13- 8   
 510 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-10, 83.4)    11- 3   
 512 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (12- 5, 95.5)     8- 7   
 514 H O'Neil                 NY C  Sec 9   (15- 1, 99.9)     9-10   
 517 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-14, 76.7)    16- 1   
 519 A Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-16, 75.7)    14- 2   
 524 H Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   ( 9- 7, 91.1)    10- 5   
 526 N Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (16- 4, 95.7)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Columbia                4-11      -7    19          n/a  
   401 H Ballston Spa            7- 8      -1    17          n/a  
   405 H Schenectady            14- 3      11    32          n/a  
   407 A Roosevelt Hyde Park    14- 3      11    18           0.00
   409 H Saugerties             19- 7      12     8           1.31
   412 H Pine Bush               8- 7       1     0           0.88
   414 A Newburgh Free Academy  13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00
   419 H Valley Central         13-15      -2     0    -     -2.34
   421 A Monroe-Woodbury        13- 1      12    18           0.00
   423 H Washingtonville        15- 2      13    20           0.00
   426 A Pine Bush               7- 6       1     0           1.26
   428 H Wallkill               15- 3      12    13           0.00
   505 H Minisink Valley        13- 8       5     4           0.24
   510 H Newburgh Free Academy  11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   512 A Valley Central          8- 7       1     0           1.04
   514 H O'Neil                  9-10      -1    -4    +      3.05
   517 H Monroe-Woodbury        16- 1      15    19           0.00
   519 A Washingtonville        14- 2      12    19           0.00
   524 H Minisink Valley        10- 5       5     4           0.24
   526 N Pine Bush              11-12      -1     0          -0.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Columbia                4-11      -7    19    ---        
   401 H Ballston Spa            7- 8      -1    17    ---        
   414 A Newburgh Free Academy  13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00
   419 H Valley Central         13-15      -2     0    -     -2.34
   510 H Newburgh Free Academy  11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H O'Neil                  9-10      -1    -4    +      3.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.66 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.83 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   32.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.280.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/