Conf = Gibbs Region = NJ Grp-I Nickname = J Colts Coach = Kevin KellyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.3731842 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Randolph NJ Grp-III (12-10, 87.2) 13- 3 407 A AL Johnson/Clark NJ Grp-II ( 3-14, 75.5) 6- 1 409 H Boonton NJ Grp-I ( 3-15, 73.1) 14- 4 412 H Westfield NJ Grp-III ( 9-12, 84.2) 8- 3 414 A Sparta NJ Grp-II (15- 3, 88.2) 13- 3 418 H Peddie School NJ Private ( 6-10, 82.1) 15- 8 421 A Mountain Lakes NJ Grp-I (18- 2, 97.1) 3- 8 423 A Shawnee NJ Grp-IV (19- 1, 94.1) 5-13 427 A Bergen Catholic NJ Grp-IV ( 9- 7, 85.4) 10- 7 430 H Ramapo NJ Grp-II (13- 7, 87.3) 504 A Glen Ridge NJ Grp-I ( 9- 9, 83.1) 7- 5 505 H Hopewell Valley NJ Grp-II (11- 7, 84.9) 3- 4 507 H Ridgewood NJ Grp-III (18- 4, 93.3) 5- 6 2o 510 H Hanover Park NJ Grp-II ( 3-15, 75.4) 12- 1 512 A Madison Boro NJ Grp-I (17- 3, 93.0) 3- 6 513 H Don Bosco Prep NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 86.1) 9- 7 517 H Montville NJ Grp-II ( 8-10, 82.2) 5- 4 o 519 H Pope John XXIII NJ Grp-I (11- 8, 77.6) 14- 3 525 H Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (14- 5, 82.1) 9- 2 528 A Chatham NJ Grp-I (13- 6, 90.1) 5- 4 601 A Summit NJ Grp-I (20- 4, 94.9) 4- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Randolph 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.55 407 A AL Johnson/Clark 6- 1 5 13 -- -5.00 409 H Boonton 14- 4 10 17 0.00 412 H Westfield 8- 3 5 6 -1.49 414 A Sparta 13- 3 10 0 +++ 9.50 418 H Peddie School 15- 8 7 8 -1.58 421 A Mountain Lakes 3- 8 -5 -8 + 3.32 423 A Shawnee 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.61 427 A Bergen Catholic 10- 7 3 3 -0.31 504 A Glen Ridge 7- 5 2 5 - -3.64 505 H Hopewell Valley 3- 4 -1 5 --- -6.73 507 H Ridgewood 5- 6 2o -1 -2 1.63 510 H Hanover Park 12- 1 11 15 0.00 512 A Madison Boro 3- 6 -3 -4 1.23 513 H Don Bosco Prep 9- 7 2 4 - -2.58 517 H Montville 5- 4 o 1 8 --- -7.45 519 H Pope John XXIII 14- 3 11 13 0.00 525 H Rumson-Fair Haven 9- 2 7 8 -1.53 528 A Chatham 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.31 601 A Summit 4- 8 -4 -6 + 2.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Hopewell Valley 3- 4 -1 5 --- -6.73 517 H Montville 5- 4 o 1 8 --- -7.45 407 A AL Johnson/Clark 6- 1 5 13 -- -5.00 423 A Shawnee 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.61 504 A Glen Ridge 7- 5 2 5 - -3.64 513 H Don Bosco Prep 9- 7 2 4 - -2.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Randolph 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.55 414 A Sparta 13- 3 10 0 +++ 9.50 421 A Mountain Lakes 3- 8 -5 -8 + 3.32 528 A Chatham 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.31 601 A Summit 4- 8 -4 -6 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.71 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 68.34 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3