Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8882751    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 A Apex                   NC    4A      (23- 1, 99.4)     3-11   
 309 H Green Hope             NC    4A      (10- 6, 88.5)    12-10   
 310 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (14- 3, 99.6)     6-18   
 321 N Sidwell Friends        DC    MAC     (10- 8, 86.8)     4- 5   
 324 A Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 7- 9, 85.7)    14-15  o
 401 A St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     ( 6- 9, 86.2)     9- 8   
 404 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 2, 99.9)     6-16   
 405 A SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      (11- 4, 89.8)    11-10   
 412 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (10-10, 90.5)    13-12   
 415 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 7, 92.2)     7- 8 3o
 418 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 2, 99.9)     6- 9   
 419 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    19- 1   
 421 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (10-10, 90.5)     9-15   
 426 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 7, 92.2)    10-11 2o
 429 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    15- 0   
 430 H Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 6- 8, 83.0)    14- 7   
 503 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (10-10, 90.5)    13-12   
 505 N Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 7, 92.2)     8- 4   
 510 H R.J. Reynolds          NC    4A      (11- 8, 90.4)    15-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Apex                    3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
   309 H Green Hope             12-10       2     1           0.89
   310 A Durham Academy          6-18     -12   -11          n/a  
   321 N Sidwell Friends         4- 5      -1     1          n/a  
   324 A Ravenscroft School     14-15  o   -1     2          n/a  
   401 A St Andrews Episcopal    9- 8       1     0          n/a  
   404 H East Chapel Hill        6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   405 A SouthEast Raleigh      11-10       1    -2    +      3.21
   412 H Chapel Hill            13-12       1     0           1.93
   415 A Durham Riverside        7- 8 3o   -1    -4    +      3.58
   418 A East Chapel Hill        6- 9      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   419 A Northern Durham        19- 1      18    17           0.00
   421 A Chapel Hill             9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.13
   426 H Durham Riverside       10-11 2o   -1    -2           1.63
   429 H Northern Durham        15- 0      15    19           0.00
   430 H Wilmington Laney       14- 7       7     6           0.45
   503 A Chapel Hill            13-12       1    -2    +      3.87
   505 N Durham Riverside        8- 4       4    -3    +++    7.60
   510 H R.J. Reynolds          15-16      -1     0          -0.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Sidwell Friends         4- 5      -1     1    -          
   324 A Ravenscroft School     14-15  o   -1     2    -          
   421 A Chapel Hill             9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A East Chapel Hill        6- 9      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   505 N Durham Riverside        8- 4       4    -3    +++    7.60
   304 A Apex                    3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
   405 A SouthEast Raleigh      11-10       1    -2    +      3.21
   415 A Durham Riverside        7- 8 3o   -1    -4    +      3.58
   503 A Chapel Hill            13-12       1    -2    +      3.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.60 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.68 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/