Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Jaguars Coach = Nick CarusoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.0948715 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-I ( 5-11, 69.9) 10- 3 404 A Old Bridge NJ Grp-IV ( 6-12, 72.6) 4- 5 406 H Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-II ( 3-10, 68.2) 7- 4 409 A South Brunswick NJ Grp-IV (13- 4, 84.3) 8-10 411 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (14- 5, 82.1) 3- 2 413 H Toms River North NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 8, 74.7) 7- 3 416 A Manasquan NJ Grp-II (14- 6, 83.3) 3-10 418 A Shawnee NJ Grp-IV (19- 1, 94.1) 5-19 420 A Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV ( 5-11, 71.6) 7- 1 422 H Howell NJ Grp-IV (13- 7, 78.9) 7- 8 o 425 H Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV ( 5-11, 71.6) 6- 8 427 H Toms River South NJ Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1) 10- 5 502 A Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-II ( 5-14, 65.7) 7- 6 3o 504 A Toms River East NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 7, 74.5) 5- 8 509 H Freehold Township NJ Grp-IV ( 5-10, 70.1) 11-14 511 A Ranney School NJ Private ( 0-12, 58.1) 9- 5 513 A Colt's Neck NJ Grp-II ( 2-11, 64.1) 9- 3 516 A Howell NJ Grp-IV (13- 7, 78.9) 8- 9 o 523 A Washington Twp NJ Grp-IV (15- 5, 83.0) 5-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A St Rose Belmar 10- 3 7 4 + 2.83 404 A Old Bridge 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.51 406 H Monsignor Donovan 7- 4 3 7 -- -4.85 409 A South Brunswick 8-10 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 411 A Rumson-Fair Haven 3- 2 1 -8 +++ 9.07 413 H Toms River North 7- 3 4 1 + 2.75 416 A Manasquan 3-10 -7 -9 + 2.25 418 A Shawnee 5-19 -14 -20 0.00 420 A Southern Regional 7- 1 6 2 + 3.52 422 H Howell 7- 8 o -1 -2 1.86 425 H Southern Regional 6- 8 -2 4 --- -6.41 427 H Toms River South 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.09 502 A Red Bank Catholic 7- 6 3o 1 8 --- -7.40 504 A Toms River East 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.55 509 H Freehold Township 11-14 -3 5 --- -8.92 511 A Ranney School 9- 5 4 15 --- -6.00 513 A Colt's Neck 9- 3 6 9 - -3.96 516 A Howell 8- 9 o -1 -4 + 3.80 523 A Washington Twp 5-10 -5 -8 + 3.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Southern Regional 6- 8 -2 4 --- -6.41 502 A Red Bank Catholic 7- 6 3o 1 8 --- -7.40 509 H Freehold Township 11-14 -3 5 --- -8.92 511 A Ranney School 9- 5 4 15 --- -6.00 406 H Monsignor Donovan 7- 4 3 7 -- -4.85 404 A Old Bridge 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.51 504 A Toms River East 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.55 513 A Colt's Neck 9- 3 6 9 - -3.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A South Brunswick 8-10 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 411 A Rumson-Fair Haven 3- 2 1 -8 +++ 9.07 427 H Toms River South 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.09 401 A St Rose Belmar 10- 3 7 4 + 2.83 413 H Toms River North 7- 3 4 1 + 2.75 416 A Manasquan 3-10 -7 -9 + 2.25 420 A Southern Regional 7- 1 6 2 + 3.52 516 A Howell 8- 9 o -1 -4 + 3.80 523 A Washington Twp 5-10 -5 -8 + 3.95/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.04 Local Power Rank........... 84 Local SOS Rating......... 49.54 Local SOS Rank............. 99 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 78 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 56 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 82 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0