Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-IV           
   Nickname = J Jaguars              Coach  =   Nick Caruso           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.0948715    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-I   ( 5-11, 69.9)    10- 3   
 404 A Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-12, 72.6)     4- 5   
 406 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-10, 68.2)     7- 4   
 409 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 4, 84.3)     8-10   
 411 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 82.1)     3- 2   
 413 H Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 8, 74.7)     7- 3   
 416 A Manasquan              NJ    Grp-II  (14- 6, 83.3)     3-10   
 418 A Shawnee                NJ    Grp-IV  (19- 1, 94.1)     5-19   
 420 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 71.6)     7- 1   
 422 H Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 7, 78.9)     7- 8  o
 425 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 71.6)     6- 8   
 427 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1)    10- 5   
 502 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-14, 65.7)     7- 6 3o
 504 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 7, 74.5)     5- 8   
 509 H Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-10, 70.1)    11-14   
 511 A Ranney School          NJ    Private ( 0-12, 58.1)     9- 5   
 513 A Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-II  ( 2-11, 64.1)     9- 3   
 516 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 7, 78.9)     8- 9  o
 523 A Washington Twp         NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 5, 83.0)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A St Rose Belmar         10- 3       7     4    +      2.83
   404 A Old Bridge              4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.51
   406 H Monsignor Donovan       7- 4       3     7    --    -4.85
   409 A South Brunswick         8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   411 A Rumson-Fair Haven       3- 2       1    -8    +++    9.07
   413 H Toms River North        7- 3       4     1    +      2.75
   416 A Manasquan               3-10      -7    -9    +      2.25
   418 A Shawnee                 5-19     -14   -20           0.00
   420 A Southern Regional       7- 1       6     2    +      3.52
   422 H Howell                  7- 8  o   -1    -2           1.86
   425 H Southern Regional       6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.41
   427 H Toms River South       10- 5       5     0    ++     5.09
   502 A Red Bank Catholic       7- 6 3o    1     8    ---   -7.40
   504 A Toms River East         5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.55
   509 H Freehold Township      11-14      -3     5    ---   -8.92
   511 A Ranney School           9- 5       4    15    ---   -6.00
   513 A Colt's Neck             9- 3       6     9    -     -3.96
   516 A Howell                  8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.80
   523 A Washington Twp          5-10      -5    -8    +      3.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Southern Regional       6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.41
   502 A Red Bank Catholic       7- 6 3o    1     8    ---   -7.40
   509 H Freehold Township      11-14      -3     5    ---   -8.92
   511 A Ranney School           9- 5       4    15    ---   -6.00
   406 H Monsignor Donovan       7- 4       3     7    --    -4.85
   404 A Old Bridge              4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.51
   504 A Toms River East         5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.55
   513 A Colt's Neck             9- 3       6     9    -     -3.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A South Brunswick         8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   411 A Rumson-Fair Haven       3- 2       1    -8    +++    9.07
   427 H Toms River South       10- 5       5     0    ++     5.09
   401 A St Rose Belmar         10- 3       7     4    +      2.83
   413 H Toms River North        7- 3       4     1    +      2.75
   416 A Manasquan               3-10      -7    -9    +      2.25
   420 A Southern Regional       7- 1       6     2    +      3.52
   516 A Howell                  8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.80
   523 A Washington Twp          5-10      -5    -8    +      3.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.04 Local Power Rank...........    84
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.54 Local SOS Rank.............    99
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    78
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    56
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    82
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/