Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Jason Jobson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5367508    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 N Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   (14- 3, 88.8)     5-12   
 405 H Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-10, 78.1)    15- 4   
 409 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (18- 3, 95.0)     2-17   
 412 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 75.9)    16- 9   
 414 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.3)     6- 7   
 419 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.8)     9- 7   
 426 A Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   (14- 3, 88.8)     7-17   
 427 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.4)     6-12   
 428 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.4)     9-11   
 430 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 83.0)     7-14   
 503 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-10, 78.1)     9-11   
 505 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.8)     9- 5   
 510 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (18- 3, 95.0)     0-14   
 512 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 75.9)     5-10   
 514 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.4)    17-11   
 516 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.3)    11-10   
 519 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 85.4)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 N Brighton                5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   405 H Churchville-Chili      15- 4      11     0    +++    9.59
   409 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   412 H Hilton                 16- 9       7     2    ++     4.45
   414 A Spencerport             6- 7      -1    -2           1.35
   419 A Gates-Chili             9- 7       2     0           1.93
   426 A Brighton                7-17     -10   -12           0.00
   427 H Livonia                 6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.05
   428 A Greece Odyssey/Athena   9-11      -2     2    --    -4.48
   430 H Webster Thomas          7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.44
   503 A Churchville-Chili       9-11      -2    -2           0.14
   505 H Gates-Chili             9- 5       4     2           1.38
   510 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      0-14     -14   -19           0.00
   512 A Hilton                  5-10      -5     0    --    -5.00
   514 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  17-11       6     5           0.97
   516 H Spencerport            11-10       1     0           0.80
   519 A Victor                  6-17     -11    -9          -0.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Livonia                 6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.05
   428 A Greece Odyssey/Athena   9-11      -2     2    --    -4.48
   512 A Hilton                  5-10      -5     0    --    -5.00
   430 H Webster Thomas          7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Churchville-Chili      15- 4      11     0    +++    9.59
   412 H Hilton                 16- 9       7     2    ++     4.45
   326 N Brighton                5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.19 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.88 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/