Region = CT 2  SWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Mustangs             Coach  =   Tim Vivian            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3810577    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Housatonic Valley      CT 2  Indep   ( 4-11, 84.1)    14- 8   
 407 A Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 93.8)     3- 2  o
 411 A Newington              CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 75.3)     8-11   
 412 H Bethel                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 0-12, 74.5)    12- 6   
 414 H Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (14- 5, 97.2)     5-13   
 421 A New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 92.6)     9-16   
 428 A New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (16- 6, 96.5)     6- 8   
 503 H Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 95.4)     5-10   
 505 H Bethel                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 0-12, 74.5)    12- 1   
 509 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 87.2)     6- 7   
 512 A Pomperaug-Southbury    CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 4-12, 83.5)     9- 6   
 517 A Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (12- 6, 90.2)     2-14   
 521 A Shelton                CT 2  SCIAC   ( 1-14, 74.5)     9- 1   
 602 A Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 9- 9, 87.9)    13-11   
 604 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (14- 5, 97.2)    11-10   
 607 A Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (12- 8, 93.3)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Housatonic Valley      14- 8       6     5           0.85
   407 A Brookfield              3- 2  o    1    -4    ++     5.61
   411 A Newington               8-11      -3    13          n/a  
   412 H Bethel                 12- 6       6    16    --    -4.00
   414 H Masuk-Monroe            5-13      -8    -6          -1.48
   421 A New Milford             9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.62
   428 A New Fairfield           6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.30
   503 H Weston                  5-10      -5    -4          -0.27
   505 H Bethel                 12- 1      11    16           0.00
   509 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.53
   512 A Pomperaug-Southbury     9- 6       3     5    -     -2.78
   517 A Barlow-Redding          2-14     -12    -1          n/a  
   521 A Shelton                 9- 1       8    14    -     -2.00
   602 A Avon HS                13-11       2     1           0.63
   604 A Masuk-Monroe           11-10       1    -8    +++    9.00
   607 A Farmington              5- 8      -3    -4           1.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Newington               8-11      -3    13    ---        
   517 A Barlow-Redding          2-14     -12    -1    ---        
   412 H Bethel                 12- 6       6    16    --    -4.00
   509 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.53
   421 A New Milford             9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.62
   512 A Pomperaug-Southbury     9- 6       3     5    -     -2.78
   521 A Shelton                 9- 1       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   604 A Masuk-Monroe           11-10       1    -8    +++    9.00
   407 A Brookfield              3- 2  o    1    -4    ++     5.61
   428 A New Fairfield           6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.97 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.57 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/