Region = VA 2  Privte           
   Nickname = A Hawks                Coach  =   Kevin Helmick         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.7010422    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Highland Park          TX 1  North   (17- 0, 99.9)     7-10   
 330 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (10- 9, 93.0)    14-17   
 405 A Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (20- 5, 99.9)     8-10   
 407 A Notre Dame Academy     MD    MILL    (15-10, 88.6)    13- 9   
 408 H Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (10- 6, 88.1)    14- 2   
 416 N The Heights            MD    MILL    (10- 6, 89.7)    10- 8   
 416 A Potomac School         DC    MAC     (11- 6, 92.2)     8- 9   
 419 H Blue Ridge School      VA 2  Tidewtr ( 9- 9, 86.6)    13- 1   
 421 H St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     ( 6- 9, 86.2)    13- 7   
 423 A McLean                 VA    Lib     (10- 5, 92.6)     6-11   
 428 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    ( 3- 9, 81.3)    13- 8   
 430 A Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (10- 6, 88.1)    11- 9   
 503 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad VA 1  Tidewtr (13- 4, 98.0)     5-20   
 507 H Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     (16- 5, 98.2)     2-13   
 511 A Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   (11- 3, 89.9)     4-15   
 513 H Fauquier               VA    NoWest  ( 2-12, 76.4)    18- 3   
 517 H Steward                VA 2  Privte  (10- 8, 86.5)    18- 6   
 519 N Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (10- 6, 88.1)     9- 4   
 521 N Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (20- 5, 99.9)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Highland Park           7-10      -3    -7          n/a  
   330 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  14-17      -3     0          n/a  
   405 A Covenant                8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   407 A Notre Dame Academy     13- 9       4     0          n/a  
   408 H Flint Hill             14- 2      12     4          n/a  
   416 N The Heights            10- 8       2     1          n/a  
   416 A Potomac School          8- 9      -1    -2          n/a  
   419 H Blue Ridge School      13- 1      12     5    ++     4.08
   421 H St Andrews Episcopal   13- 7       6     6          n/a  
   423 A McLean                  6-11      -5    -2          n/a  
   428 H Paul VI                13- 8       5    11          n/a  
   430 A Flint Hill             11- 9       2     1          n/a  
   503 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad  5-20     -15    -8          n/a  
   507 H Woodberry Forest        2-13     -11    -5          n/a  
   511 A Mercersburg Academy     4-15     -11     0          n/a  
   513 H Fauquier               18- 3      15    15          n/a  
   517 H Steward                18- 6      12     6    +      4.00
   519 N Flint Hill              9- 4       5     3          n/a  
   521 N Covenant               10-16      -6    -8    +      2.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Mercersburg Academy     4-15     -11     0    ---        
   428 H Paul VI                13- 8       5    11    --         
   507 H Woodberry Forest        2-13     -11    -5    --         
   330 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  14-17      -3     0    -          
   423 A McLean                  6-11      -5    -2    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Covenant                8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   313 H Highland Park           7-10      -3    -7    ++         
   408 H Flint Hill             14- 2      12     4    ++         
   419 H Blue Ridge School      13- 1      12     5    ++     4.08
   407 A Notre Dame Academy     13- 9       4     0    +          
   517 H Steward                18- 6      12     6    +      4.00
   521 N Covenant               10-16      -6    -8    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.20 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.01 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   24.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/