Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY B  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Tony Cascio           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0919647    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.8)     6- 7  o
 329 H MacArthur-Levittown    NY B  Sec 8   ( 7-10, 82.9)     7- 4   
 331 A Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   (11- 6, 88.5)     7-11   
 406 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (10- 7, 86.8)    10- 9   
 408 H Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  (10- 5, 84.0)    17-11   
 412 H Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (21- 0, 99.6)     9-16   
 414 H Westhampton Beach      NY C  Sec 11  (10- 7, 81.8)    10- 2   
 418 A Shoreham-Wading River  NY C  Sec 11  (14- 6, 86.8)    10- 7   
 420 A Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (13- 4, 91.5)     8- 9   
 422 H Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (12- 5, 90.2)     4- 9   
 426 H Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 77.0)    17- 3   
 428 H Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.6)    13- 5   
 502 A Stony Brook            NY C  Sec 11  ( 1-16, 64.6)    19- 5   
 504 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.0)    11- 6   
 507 H Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.3)    12- 3   
 510 H Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (14- 4, 89.4)    12-15   
 512 A Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 78.5)    18- 9   
 519 H East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  (13- 5, 86.5)     7- 6  o
 521 A Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (21- 0, 99.6)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H William Floyd           6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.67
   329 H MacArthur-Levittown     7- 4       3     5          n/a  
   331 A Baldwin                 7-11      -4    -1          n/a  
   406 A Rocky Point            10- 9       1     0           0.53
   408 H Harborfields           17-11       6     4           1.54
   412 H Huntington              9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00
   414 H Westhampton Beach      10- 2       8     6           1.35
   418 A Shoreham-Wading River  10- 7       3     0    +      2.54
   420 A Sayville                8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.23
   422 H Comsewogue              4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.32
   426 H Eastport/South Manor   17- 3      14    11           0.00
   428 H Babylon                13- 5       8     9          -1.85
   502 A Stony Brook            19- 5      14    22           0.00
   504 A Hauppauge              11- 6       5     5          -0.20
   507 H Islip                  12- 3       9     6    +      2.80
   510 H Mount Sinai            12-15      -3     0    -     -2.12
   512 A Kings Park             18- 9       9     8           0.31
   519 H East Hampton            7- 6  o    1     2          -1.02
   521 A Huntington              6-17     -11   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H MacArthur-Levittown     7- 4       3     5    -          
   331 A Baldwin                 7-11      -4    -1    -          
   422 H Comsewogue              4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.32
   510 H Mount Sinai            12-15      -3     0    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Huntington              9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00
   418 A Shoreham-Wading River  10- 7       3     0    +      2.54
   420 A Sayville                8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.23
   507 H Islip                  12- 3       9     6    +      2.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.85 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.08 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/