Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Gordon Hodgson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9319611    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Calhoun                NY B  Sec 8   (10- 8, 89.4)     6-10   
 406 H Copaigue               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 70.6)    17- 5   
 407 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 80.8)    10- 9   
 409 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     4-16   
 411 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 75.2)    16- 9   
 415 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.2)    18- 8   
 416 A Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    (12- 7, 93.0)    13-14   
 419 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.5)     8- 7   
 421 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 76.6)    14- 8   
 425 A Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 88.5)     6- 4   
 427 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 85.7)     6- 7   
 430 H Floral Park            NY B  Sec 8   ( 8- 9, 85.0)    13-10   
 503 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.4)    11-13   
 505 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 99.3)     3- 7   
 509 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)    20-14   
 511 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.7)    10- 9  o
 513 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 65.5)    17- 3   
 518 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)    10- 5   
 520 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.8)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Calhoun                 6-10      -4    -1          n/a  
   406 H Copaigue               17- 5      12    17           0.00
   407 H Middle Country         10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.06
   409 H West Islip              4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   411 A Walt Whitman           16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   415 H North Babylon          18- 8      10    12           0.00
   416 A Holy Trinity           13-14      -1    -6          n/a  
   419 A Northport               8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.89
   421 A Longwood               14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   425 A Smithtown               6- 4       2    -1    +      3.91
   427 H East Islip              6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.14
   430 H Floral Park            13-10       3     2          n/a  
   503 A Connetquot             11-13      -2     3    --    -5.26
   505 H Ward Melville           3- 7      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   509 H Bay Shore              20-14       6     7          -1.25
   511 A Sachem East            10- 9  o    1     0           1.04
   513 A Brentwood              17- 3      14    21           0.00
   518 H Bay Shore              10- 5       5     7    -     -2.25
   520 A William Floyd           7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Middle Country         10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.06
   421 A Longwood               14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   503 A Connetquot             11-13      -2     3    --    -5.26
   520 A William Floyd           7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.81
   329 H Calhoun                 6-10      -4    -1    -          
   411 A Walt Whitman           16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   427 H East Islip              6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.14
   518 H Bay Shore              10- 5       5     7    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Northport               8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.89
   505 H Ward Melville           3- 7      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   416 A Holy Trinity           13-14      -1    -6    ++         
   425 A Smithtown               6- 4       2    -1    +      3.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.24 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.15 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/