Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Hornets              Coach  =   Chris Arnold          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4212036    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H St Luke's              NE 2  FAA     (14- 5, 90.2)    10-16   
 408 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 6- 7, 88.5)     7- 2   
 411 H Rye Country Day        NE 2  FAA     ( 8- 8, 88.5)     8- 5   
 413 A Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 3- 9, 83.9)     9- 8  o
 415 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (16- 3, 94.6)     6- 9   
 420 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (13- 4, 94.8)     7- 9   
 422 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 4- 9, 83.9)    14- 6   
 427 H Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 3- 9, 83.9)    11- 7   
 430 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (16- 3, 94.6)     7- 9   
 506 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (13- 4, 94.8)    11-10  o
 509 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 0- 9, 71.9)    15- 6   
 511 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 4- 9, 83.9)    12-10   
 513 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 1- 2, 75.8)   
 516 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 6- 7, 88.5)    14-10   
 519 H New Dorp               NY    PSAL    ( 5-12, 71.3)    14- 1   
 521 H Archbishop Stepinac    NY    Cathlc  ( 9- 7, 89.2)    14- 6   
 523 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (13- 4, 94.8)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H St Luke's              10-16      -6     1          n/a  
   408 H Trinity School          7- 2       5     4           0.87
   411 H Rye Country Day         8- 5       3     3          n/a  
   413 A Riverdale Cou Day       9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.49
   415 H Poly Prep               6- 9      -3    -1          -1.03
   420 A Fieldston               7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.40
   422 A Horace Mann            14- 6       8     5    +      2.57
   427 H Riverdale Cou Day      11- 7       4     8    --    -4.74
   430 A Poly Prep               7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.22
   506 H Fieldston              11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.15
   509 H Collegiate             15- 6       9    20          -1.00
   511 H Horace Mann            12-10       2     8    ---   -6.68
   516 A Trinity School         14-10       4     0    +      3.12
   519 H New Dorp               14- 1      13    21           0.00
   521 H Archbishop Stepinac    14- 6       8     3    ++     4.61
   523 H Fieldston               6- 9      -3    -2          -0.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H St Luke's              10-16      -6     1    ---        
   511 H Horace Mann            12-10       2     8    ---   -6.68
   413 A Riverdale Cou Day       9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.49
   427 H Riverdale Cou Day      11- 7       4     8    --    -4.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Archbishop Stepinac    14- 6       8     3    ++     4.61
   420 A Fieldston               7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.40
   422 A Horace Mann            14- 6       8     5    +      2.57
   430 A Poly Prep               7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.22
   506 H Fieldston              11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.15
   516 A Trinity School         14-10       4     0    +      3.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.00 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.16 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/