George Mason                  4 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA    Conc             
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Mark Coffren          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.4225922    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Marshall               VA    Lib     ( 4- 8, 79.6)     2- 7   
 318 N Edison                 VA    Natl    ( 2-13, 71.5)     4- 3   
 319 A Robert E Lee           VA    Lib     ( 1-12, 71.3)    10- 3   
 331 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 5-10, 83.6)     5-13   
 404 A Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 83.2)     8- 9   
 406 A T.C. Williams          VA    Patr    (10- 5, 88.9)     4-11   
 418 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 7- 7, 77.0)     9- 8   
 426 A Mount Vernon           VA    Natl    (14- 2, 93.2)     3-18   
 428 H Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (10- 6, 88.1)     4- 8   
 430 H Hylton                 VA    Card    ( 2-12, 73.8)   
 504 H Centreville            VA    Conc    ( 3- 9, 78.7)     6- 7   
 505 A Wakefield HS           VA    Natl    ( 0-13, 64.7)    11- 1   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Marshall                2- 7      -5    -3          -1.96
   318 N Edison                  4- 3       1     6    --    -5.15
   319 A Robert E Lee           10- 3       7     5           1.70
   331 H Bishop O'Connell        5-13      -8    -4          n/a  
   404 A Falls Church            8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.67
   406 A T.C. Williams           4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   418 A J.E.B. Stuart           9- 8       1     0           1.43
   426 A Mount Vernon            3-18     -15   -16           0.00
   428 H Flint Hill              4- 8      -4    -8          n/a  
   504 H Centreville             6- 7      -1     0          -1.04
   505 A Wakefield HS           11- 1      10    11           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 N Edison                  4- 3       1     6    --    -5.15
   331 H Bishop O'Connell        5-13      -8    -4    -          


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Falls Church            8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.67
   428 H Flint Hill              4- 8      -4    -8    ++         
   406 A T.C. Williams           4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.68 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.34 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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