Region = CT 2  NWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8793793    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Tolland                CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 7, 90.2)     4- 6   
 409 A Somers                 CT 1  NWCIAC  (16- 4, 92.8)     2-16   
 412 H North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 5-13, 82.3)     8-12   
 415 H Suffield HS            CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 6, 90.1)     6- 8   
 418 H Windsor                CT 1  CCIAC   ( 5-11, 78.1)     4-14   
 420 H Newington              CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 75.3)     9-12   
 425 A Ellington              CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 9- 8, 86.8)     7- 8   
 502 H Tolland                CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 7, 90.2)     2-10   
 510 A Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (12- 8, 93.3)     5-14   
 512 A Rockville              CT 2  CCIAC   ( 0-16, 71.5)    11- 9   
 513 H Northwest Catholic     CT 2  NWCIAC  (15- 6, 95.8)     5-15   
 517 A Norwich Tech           CT 2  Indep   ( 0-14, 69.2)    19- 5   
 520 A Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 78.0)    11- 9   
 524 A Housatonic Valley      CT 2  Indep   ( 4-11, 84.1)     5- 9   
 526 H Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 9- 9, 87.9)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Tolland                 4- 6      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   409 A Somers                  2-16     -14   -13          n/a  
   412 H North Haven             8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.34
   415 H Suffield HS             6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.46
   418 H Windsor                 4-14     -10     2          n/a  
   420 H Newington               9-12      -3     5          n/a  
   425 A Ellington               7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.66
   502 H Tolland                 2-10      -8    -9           1.62
   510 A Farmington              5-14      -9   -14           1.00
   512 A Rockville              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.64
   513 H Northwest Catholic      5-15     -10   -15           0.00
   517 A Norwich Tech           19- 5      14     9           0.10
   520 A Woodstock Academy      11- 9       2     1           0.89
   524 A Housatonic Valley       5- 9      -4    -4           0.94
   526 H Avon HS                10-16      -6    -7           1.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Windsor                 4-14     -10     2    ---        
   420 H Newington               9-12      -3     5    ---        
   512 A Rockville              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.64
   412 H North Haven             8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Tolland                 4- 6      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   415 H Suffield HS             6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.46
   425 A Ellington               7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.88 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.49 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/