Region = CT 1  FCIAC            
   Nickname = T Mustangs             Coach  =   Kevin Zych            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.0770340    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Trumbull               CT 2  FCIAC   (14- 6, 96.7)     6-15   
 411 A Shelton                CT 2  SCIAC   ( 1-14, 74.5)    16- 1   
 412 A Glastonbury            CT 1  CCIAC   (11- 6, 87.0)     2-14   
 414 A Westhill               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 3-13, 79.7)    13- 5   
 419 H Ridgefield             CT 1  FCIAC   ( 7-10, 83.3)     3-12   
 423 A Greenwich              CT 1  FCIAC   (12- 7, 91.1)     7-16   
 426 H Norwalk                CT 1  FCIAC   ( 9- 9, 83.3)     4-11   
 428 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT 2  FCIAC   ( 6-10, 86.7)     5- 9   
 503 A Wilton                 CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 5, 94.4)     5-14   
 506 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 92.2)     5-16   
 509 A Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 93.8)     7-13   
 513 A Staples-Westport       CT 1  FCIAC   (12- 6, 90.4)     6-16   
 517 H Simsbury               CT 1  CCIAC   (13- 4, 91.0)     5-16   
 519 H Danbury                CT 2  FCIAC   ( 5-11, 84.0)     8- 7   
 523 A East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)     0- 1   
 524 H South Windsor          CT 1  CCIAC   ( 6-10, 77.4)     7- 8 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Trumbull                6-15      -9   -19          n/a  
   411 A Shelton                16- 1      15     0          n/a  
   412 A Glastonbury             2-14     -12   -11           0.00
   414 A Westhill               13- 5       8    -4          n/a  
   419 H Ridgefield              3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.44
   423 A Greenwich               7-16      -9   -15           1.00
   426 H Norwalk                 4-11      -7    -5          -1.49
   428 H St Joseph-Trumbull      5- 9      -4    -9          n/a  
   503 A Wilton                  5-14      -9   -19           1.00
   506 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   5-16     -11   -17           0.00
   509 A Brookfield              7-13      -6   -18          n/a  
   513 A Staples-Westport        6-16     -10   -15           0.00
   517 H Simsbury                5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   519 H Danbury                 8- 7       1    -6          n/a  
   524 H South Windsor           7- 8 2o   -1     0          -1.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Ridgefield              3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Shelton                16- 1      15     0    +++        
   414 A Westhill               13- 5       8    -4    +++        
   519 H Danbury                 8- 7       1    -6    +++        
   428 H St Joseph-Trumbull      5- 9      -4    -9    ++         
   509 A Brookfield              7-13      -6   -18    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.46 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.65 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.34 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/