Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Terry Ostrander       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4876862    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (20- 2, 99.9)     7-14   
 411 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-12, 74.9)    16- 1   
 413 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-11, 83.8)    12- 1   
 415 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 79.0)    13- 3   
 419 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 82.1)    11- 5   
 420 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 5, 95.1)    10-15   
 426 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 97.2)     4-14   
 428 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 80.4)     7- 8  o
 429 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.9)    14- 9   
 502 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-14, 78.4)    13- 5   
 503 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 90.1)     7- 8   
 506 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 80.2)    11- 1   
 509 H Lakeshore Cath Ontario                                13- 1                                     
 512 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 77.7)    14- 2   
 516 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 72.6)    16- 1   
 518 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (10- 5, 90.4)    10-13   
 520 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 90.1)    12- 5   
 524 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (20- 2, 99.9)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Orchard Park            7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   411 H Jamestown              16- 1      15    16           0.00
   413 A Sweet Home             12- 1      11     5    ++     4.18
   415 H West Seneca West       13- 3      10    12           0.00
   419 H St Joseph Collegiate   11- 5       6     9    -     -3.24
   420 A Amherst                10-15      -5    -5           0.47
   426 H Hamburg                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.09
   428 H Iroquois                7- 8  o   -1    10    ---  -11.00
   429 H Williamsville North    14- 9       5     2    +      2.57
   502 H West Seneca East       13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   503 A Niagara Wheatfield      7- 8      -1     0          -0.50
   506 H Williamsville East     11- 1      10    11           0.00
   512 H Williamsville South    14- 2      12    13           0.00
   516 H Clarence               16- 1      15    18           0.00
   518 A Lancaster              10-13      -3     0    -     -2.21
   520 H Niagara Wheatfield     12- 5       7     1    ++     5.77
   524 A Orchard Park            4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Iroquois                7- 8  o   -1    10    ---  -11.00
   426 H Hamburg                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.09
   419 H St Joseph Collegiate   11- 5       6     9    -     -3.24
   502 H West Seneca East       13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   518 A Lancaster              10-13      -3     0    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Sweet Home             12- 1      11     5    ++     4.18
   520 H Niagara Wheatfield     12- 5       7     1    ++     5.77
   407 A Orchard Park            7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   429 H Williamsville North    14- 9       5     2    +      2.57
   524 A Orchard Park            4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.45 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.67 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/