Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-IV           
   Nickname = J Patriots             Coach  =   Steve Gibb            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.5782547    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 71.6)     2- 6   
 405 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-I   ( 5-11, 69.9)    13- 5   
 407 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-14, 65.7)    10- 4   
 412 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 7, 78.9)     4-11   
 416 A Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-10, 68.2)     8- 7  o
 418 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 4, 89.8)     3-15   
 422 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1)     2-11   
 423 H Toms River East        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 7, 74.5)    11- 6   
 425 A West Windsor-PB No     NJ    Grp-III ( 4-12, 76.0)     4-14   
 426 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 82.1)     0-11   
 428 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-II  (14- 6, 83.3)     1-12   
 502 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 8, 74.7)     6- 9   
 504 A Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-12, 72.6)     8-13   
 507 H Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-II  ( 2-11, 64.1)   
 509 A Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9-10, 75.0)    14-11   
 519 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-II  ( 2-10, 61.2)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Southern Regional       2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.45
   405 A St Rose Belmar         13- 5       8     0    +++    8.78
   407 H Red Bank Catholic      10- 4       6     5           0.62
   412 A Howell                  4-11      -7    -9    +      2.75
   416 A Monsignor Donovan       8- 7  o    1     0           0.04
   418 H Christian Bros          3-15     -12   -18           0.00
   422 H Toms River South        2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.96
   423 H Toms River East        11- 6       5    -3    +++    8.47
   425 A West Windsor-PB No      4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.15
   426 A Rumson-Fair Haven       0-11     -11   -13           0.00
   428 H Manasquan               1-12     -11   -12           0.00
   502 A Toms River North        6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.63
   504 A Old Bridge              8-13      -5    -3          -1.55
   509 A Jackson Memorial       14-11       3    -5    +++    8.92
   519 H St John Vianney         6- 7      -1     9    ---  -10.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H St John Vianney         6- 7      -1     9    ---  -10.85
   401 H Southern Regional       2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.45
   422 H Toms River South        2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.96
   425 A West Windsor-PB No      4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A St Rose Belmar         13- 5       8     0    +++    8.78
   423 H Toms River East        11- 6       5    -3    +++    8.47
   509 A Jackson Memorial       14-11       3    -5    +++    8.92
   412 A Howell                  4-11      -7    -9    +      2.75
   502 A Toms River North        6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.08 Local Power Rank...........   102
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.90 Local SOS Rank.............   105
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    99
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    90
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/