Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Patriots Coach = Steve GibbGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.5782547 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV ( 5-11, 71.6) 2- 6 405 A St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-I ( 5-11, 69.9) 13- 5 407 H Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-II ( 5-14, 65.7) 10- 4 412 A Howell NJ Grp-IV (13- 7, 78.9) 4-11 416 A Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-II ( 3-10, 68.2) 8- 7 o 418 H Christian Bros NJ Grp-IV (18- 4, 89.8) 3-15 422 H Toms River South NJ Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1) 2-11 423 H Toms River East NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 7, 74.5) 11- 6 425 A West Windsor-PB No NJ Grp-III ( 4-12, 76.0) 4-14 426 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (14- 5, 82.1) 0-11 428 H Manasquan NJ Grp-II (14- 6, 83.3) 1-12 502 A Toms River North NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 8, 74.7) 6- 9 504 A Old Bridge NJ Grp-IV ( 6-12, 72.6) 8-13 507 H Colt's Neck NJ Grp-II ( 2-11, 64.1) 509 A Jackson Memorial NJ Grp-IV ( 9-10, 75.0) 14-11 519 H St John Vianney NJ Grp-II ( 2-10, 61.2) 6- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Southern Regional 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.45 405 A St Rose Belmar 13- 5 8 0 +++ 8.78 407 H Red Bank Catholic 10- 4 6 5 0.62 412 A Howell 4-11 -7 -9 + 2.75 416 A Monsignor Donovan 8- 7 o 1 0 0.04 418 H Christian Bros 3-15 -12 -18 0.00 422 H Toms River South 2-11 -9 -5 - -3.96 423 H Toms River East 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.47 425 A West Windsor-PB No 4-14 -10 -6 - -3.15 426 A Rumson-Fair Haven 0-11 -11 -13 0.00 428 H Manasquan 1-12 -11 -12 0.00 502 A Toms River North 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.63 504 A Old Bridge 8-13 -5 -3 -1.55 509 A Jackson Memorial 14-11 3 -5 +++ 8.92 519 H St John Vianney 6- 7 -1 9 --- -10.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 H St John Vianney 6- 7 -1 9 --- -10.85 401 H Southern Regional 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.45 422 H Toms River South 2-11 -9 -5 - -3.96 425 A West Windsor-PB No 4-14 -10 -6 - -3.15OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A St Rose Belmar 13- 5 8 0 +++ 8.78 423 H Toms River East 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.47 509 A Jackson Memorial 14-11 3 -5 +++ 8.92 412 A Howell 4-11 -7 -9 + 2.75 502 A Toms River North 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.63/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.08 Local Power Rank........... 102 Local SOS Rating......... 48.90 Local SOS Rank............. 105 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 99 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 90 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0