Region = CT 2  ECIAC            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Dave Howes            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2997284    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (12- 8, 93.3)    13- 8   
 411 H Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 78.0)    13- 3   
 413 A Xavier-Middletown      CT 1  SCIAC   (12- 6, 83.5)     5- 7   
 416 H Southington            CT 1  CCIAC   (12- 6, 89.8)     3-10   
 421 A Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 8-10, 87.1)     9- 6   
 423 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          ( 1-15, 72.2)    12- 5   
 426 A Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 6-10, 84.7)     9- 8 2o
 428 A Old Lyme               CT 2  Indep   (15- 1, 99.9)     8-10   
 430 A Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 79.9)     6- 2   
 503 H East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)    11- 7   
 505 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)     5- 6  o
 509 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-11, 73.3)    18- 1   
 512 A Windsor                CT 1  CCIAC   ( 5-11, 78.1)     6- 5   
 516 H Ledyard                CT 2  ECIAC   ( 8- 8, 86.9)    10- 4   
 519 A St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-12, 75.4)    20- 5   
 523 A Suffield HS            CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 6, 90.1)     4- 5  o
 526 N Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 6-10, 84.7)    13- 3   
 531 N East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)     7-10   
 604 H Trumbull               CT 2  FCIAC   (14- 6, 96.7)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Farmington             13- 8       5    -3    +++    8.76
   411 H Woodstock Academy      13- 3      10    12           0.00
   413 A Xavier-Middletown       5- 7      -2     5          n/a  
   416 H Southington             3-10      -7     1          n/a  
   421 A Morgan-Clinton          9- 6       3     2           0.56
   423 H Acton Boxborough       12- 5       7    18          n/a  
   426 A Stonington              9- 8 2o    1     4    -     -3.88
   428 A Old Lyme                8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   430 A Norwich Free Academy    6- 2       4     9    --    -5.61
   503 H East Lyme              11- 7       4    10          n/a  
   505 H Guilford                5- 6  o   -1    10          n/a  
   509 H Wheeler-No Stonington  18- 1      17    17           0.00
   512 A Windsor                 6- 5       1    11          n/a  
   516 H Ledyard                10- 4       6     4           1.90
   519 A St Bernard             20- 5      15    14           0.00
   523 A Suffield HS             4- 5  o   -1     0          -0.46
   526 N Stonington             13- 3      10     5    ++     4.38
   531 N East Lyme               7-10      -3     9          n/a  
   604 H Trumbull                7-11      -4    -5           1.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Xavier-Middletown       5- 7      -2     5    ---        
   416 H Southington             3-10      -7     1    ---        
   503 H East Lyme              11- 7       4    10    ---        
   505 H Guilford                5- 6  o   -1    10    ---        
   512 A Windsor                 6- 5       1    11    ---        
   531 N East Lyme               7-10      -3     9    ---        
   430 A Norwich Free Academy    6- 2       4     9    --    -5.61
   423 H Acton Boxborough       12- 5       7    18    -          
   426 A Stonington              9- 8 2o    1     4    -     -3.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Farmington             13- 8       5    -3    +++    8.76
   428 A Old Lyme                8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   526 N Stonington             13- 3      10     5    ++     4.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.28 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.72 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/