Region = VA    NoWest           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Bill Woodbury         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2194443    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 N Liberty-Bealeton       VA    NoWest  ( 1-13, 75.1)    12- 7   
 411 A Stone Bridge           VA    Dulles  (12- 4, 93.0)     2-11   
 414 H Heritage-Leesburg      VA    Dulles  ( 6- 9, 82.0)     3- 4   
 418 H Loudoun County         VA    Dulles  ( 7- 7, 83.0)     7-10   
 421 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  ( 1-12, 71.2)   
 425 A Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (13- 5, 94.7)     1-16   
 427 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 3- 9, 81.9)     7- 8   
 428 H Park View              VA    Dulles  ( 3-12, 76.5)     8- 7   
 502 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  (11- 6, 95.9)     2-14   
 504 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 9- 4, 88.1)     7-10   
 506 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 8- 5, 86.3)     1-14   
 509 A Loudoun Valley         VA    Dulles  (18- 1, 99.9)     2-16   
 512 A Potomac Falls          VA    Dulles  ( 8- 8, 85.7)     1-14   
 513 A Highland School        VA 2  Privte  (10- 9, 91.2)     3-18   
 524 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 3- 9, 81.9)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 N Liberty-Bealeton       12- 7       5     1    +      3.71
   411 A Stone Bridge            2-11      -9   -17           1.00
   414 H Heritage-Leesburg       3- 4      -1    -4    +      3.79
   418 H Loudoun County          7-10      -3    -5    +      2.77
   425 A Broad Run               1-16     -15   -19           0.00
   427 A Monticello              7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.33
   428 H Park View               8- 7       1     0           0.20
   502 H Western Albemarle       2-14     -12   -18           0.00
   504 H Charlottesville         7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   506 H Rockbridge County       1-14     -13    -9          -0.97
   509 A Loudoun Valley          2-16     -14   -24           0.00
   512 A Potomac Falls           1-14     -13   -10           0.00
   513 A Highland School         3-18     -15   -15          n/a  
   524 A Monticello              5-12      -7    -6          -0.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Charlottesville         7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   427 A Monticello              7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.33
   408 N Liberty-Bealeton       12- 7       5     1    +      3.71
   414 H Heritage-Leesburg       3- 4      -1    -4    +      3.79
   418 H Loudoun County          7-10      -3    -5    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.39 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.08 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.7
/