Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Derek Hoover          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.5280151    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-14, 76.7)     6- 4   
 406 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-17, 67.9)    15- 3   
 408 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 77.7)     6- 5   
 412 A Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (13- 8, 89.9)     3- 5   
 414 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 90.1)     5-12   
 415 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-19, 63.0)    11- 0   
 425 H Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 93.7)     2-12   
 427 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-12, 79.7)    11-10   
 429 A St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (18- 2, 94.1)     1-10   
 430 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-12, 79.7)    10- 6   
 504 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-14, 76.7)    11-12   
 505 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-17, 67.9)    14- 1   
 508 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 84.9)     4-10   
 511 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 82.1)     6- 3   
 512 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-19, 63.0)    16- 1   
 516 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 80.7)    17-10   
 518 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 80.7)    14- 7   
 519 A Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 89.0)     4-10   
 524 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-14, 76.7)     6- 5   
 526 N Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 80.7)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Gowanda                 6- 4       2     7    --    -5.65
   406 A Medina                 15- 3      12    14           0.00
   408 A Williamsville South     6- 5       1     4    -     -3.90
   412 A Timon St Jude           3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.27
   414 H Niagara Wheatfield      5-12      -7    -5          -1.24
   415 A Akron                  11- 0      11    19           0.00
   425 H Nichols                 2-12     -10    -9          -0.62
   427 A Silver Creek           11-10       1     2          -1.84
   429 A St Francis              1-10      -9   -11           1.00
   430 H Silver Creek           10- 6       4     4          -0.57
   504 A Gowanda                11-12      -1     5    ---   -6.93
   505 H Medina                 14- 1      13    16           0.00
   508 H Grand Island            4-10      -6     0    --    -5.39
   511 A St Joseph Collegiate    6- 3       3     0    +      2.48
   512 H Akron                  16- 1      15    21           0.00
   516 A Salamanca              17-10       7     1    ++     5.14
   518 H Salamanca              14- 7       7     3    +      3.41
   519 A Canisius                4-10      -6    -6           0.46
   524 H Gowanda                 6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.65
   526 N Salamanca               7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Gowanda                11-12      -1     5    ---   -6.93
   524 H Gowanda                 6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.65
   401 H Gowanda                 6- 4       2     7    --    -5.65
   508 H Grand Island            4-10      -6     0    --    -5.39
   408 A Williamsville South     6- 5       1     4    -     -3.90
   526 N Salamanca               7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Timon St Jude           3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.27
   516 A Salamanca              17-10       7     1    ++     5.14
   511 A St Joseph Collegiate    6- 3       3     0    +      2.48
   518 H Salamanca              14- 7       7     3    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.45 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.12 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/