Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Jim Kirkley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.6066437    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 A Mount Tabor            NC    4A      (17- 3, 96.4)     6- 7 2o
 315 H Apex                   NC    4A      (23- 1, 99.4)     2- 8   
 318 N AA Christian           MD B  MIAA    ( 5-12, 83.5)    16- 4   
 322 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 2, 99.9)     1-10   
 324 H Western  Guilford      NC    3A/2A   (15- 4, 93.0)    10- 8   
 330 A Marist                 GA    Area02  ( 6- 8, 81.4)    14- 4   
 405 H Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (17- 7, 92.8)    10- 7   
 408 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 2, 99.9)     3-13   
 412 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    22- 2   
 415 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9-10, 88.6)     8- 7 3o
 416 A SouthEast Guilford     NC    3A/2A   (11- 6, 88.7)     7- 1   
 419 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (10-10, 90.5)     8- 4   
 421 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    20- 0   
 426 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9-10, 88.6)    11-10 2o
 429 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (10-10, 90.5)     4-10   
 503 N Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    20- 0   
 505 N Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9-10, 88.6)     4- 8   
 510 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (10- 6, 87.1)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Mount Tabor             6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.13
   315 H Apex                    2- 8      -6    -6           0.24
   318 N AA Christian           16- 4      12     8          n/a  
   322 A East Chapel Hill        1-10      -9    -8          -0.33
   324 H Western  Guilford      10- 8       2     0           1.82
   330 A Marist                 14- 4      10     9          n/a  
   405 H Greensboro Grimsley    10- 7       3     0    +      2.64
   408 A East Chapel Hill        3-13     -10    -8          -1.33
   412 A Northern Durham        22- 2      20    20           0.00
   415 H Durham Jordan           8- 7 3o    1     4    -     -3.58
   416 A SouthEast Guilford      7- 1       6     2    +      3.52
   419 A Chapel Hill             8- 4       4     0    +      3.27
   421 H Northern Durham        20- 0      20    22           0.00
   426 A Durham Jordan          11-10 2o    1     2          -1.63
   429 H Chapel Hill             4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.68
   503 N Northern Durham        20- 0      20    21           0.00
   505 N Durham Jordan           4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.60
   510 H Wilmington Hoggard      7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Chapel Hill             4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.68
   505 N Durham Jordan           4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.60
   510 H Wilmington Hoggard      7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.04
   415 H Durham Jordan           8- 7 3o    1     4    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Mount Tabor             6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.13
   405 H Greensboro Grimsley    10- 7       3     0    +      2.64
   416 A SouthEast Guilford      7- 1       6     2    +      3.52
   419 A Chapel Hill             8- 4       4     0    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.20 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.72 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/