Region = AZ    South            
   Nickname = Z Thunder              Coach  =   Bill Lynch            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1318893    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 H Highland               AZ    Fiesta  ( 5- 7, 80.7)     9- 6   
 215 A Gilbert                AZ    Fiesta  ( 8- 5, 89.8)     9-11   
 217 A Hamilton               AZ    Fiesta  ( 3- 8, 74.8)    12- 4   
 226 A Phoenix Country Day    AZ    North   ( 7- 6, 89.1)    10- 9 4o
 302 H Chandler               AZ    Fiesta  (13- 3, 97.1)     5-10   
 311 A Tucson                 AZ    South   ( 6- 5, 83.1)    10- 3   
 312 A Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ    South   ( 5- 7, 80.2)     8- 5   
 323 H Mesa                   AZ    Desert  ( 1-11, 69.4)    11- 3   
 330 H Mesquite               AZ    Fiesta  ( 9- 5, 91.8)    12-11   
 407 H Desert Mountain        AZ    Desert  ( 8- 6, 89.3)     9-16   
 413 A Dobson                 AZ    South   ( 2-10, 76.8)    10- 2   
 421 H Mountain Pointe        AZ    South   ( 7- 5, 86.1)     5- 6   
 426 A Chaparral              AZ    North   (15- 0, 99.9)     1-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Highland                9- 6       3     6    -     -3.41
   215 A Gilbert                 9-11      -2    -2           0.97
   217 A Hamilton               12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   226 A Phoenix Country Day    10- 9 4o    1    -2    +      3.21
   302 H Chandler                5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.98
   311 A Tucson                 10- 3       7     3    +      3.27
   312 A Tucson Tanque Verde     8- 5       3     6    -     -3.65
   323 H Mesa                   11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   330 H Mesquite               12-11       1    -4    ++     5.60
   407 H Desert Mountain         9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.86
   413 A Dobson                 10- 2       8    10    -     -2.00
   421 H Mountain Pointe         5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.06
   426 A Chaparral               1-16     -15   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Desert Mountain         9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.86
   209 H Highland                9- 6       3     6    -     -3.41
   217 A Hamilton               12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   312 A Tucson Tanque Verde     8- 5       3     6    -     -3.65
   323 H Mesa                   11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   413 A Dobson                 10- 2       8    10    -     -2.00
   421 H Mountain Pointe         5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Chandler                5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.98
   330 H Mesquite               12-11       1    -4    ++     5.60
   226 A Phoenix Country Day    10- 9 4o    1    -2    +      3.21
   311 A Tucson                 10- 3       7     3    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.01 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.33 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/