Region = NE    East-1           
   Nickname = A Penguins             Coach  =   Mike Lebel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5028534    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Tilton School          NE    North   ( 9- 7, 86.0)     7- 6   
 409 A Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (15- 4, 96.7)     2-12   
 413 H Moses Brown            NE    SEast-1 ( 7- 7, 87.9)     2- 8   
 416 H Kimball Union          NE    East-1  ( 6- 8, 86.6)     8- 6   
 420 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 4-13, 82.0)     5- 8   
 422 H Thayer Academy         NE    ISL     (14- 3, 96.5)     5-12   
 423 A Vermont Academy        NE    North   ( 3-10, 81.1)    12- 8   
 427 A Brewster Academy       NE    North   (10- 5, 90.6)     8- 9   
 430 H Tabor Academy          NE    East-1  ( 8- 5, 92.4)     4-13   
 504 H Proctor                NE    North   ( 1-10, 72.2)    11- 2   
 506 H Eden Prairie           MN    Lake-1  (13- 4, 94.6)     3- 6   
 511 A Pomfret                NE    East-1  (11- 2, 96.2)     1- 7   
 513 H Pingree                NE    East-2  (13- 8, 86.9)    12-10   
 514 A Holderness             NE    East-1  (10- 5, 93.1)     4-15   
 516 A Winchendon             NE    East-2  (11- 2, 91.1)     6-14   
 518 A Worcester Academy      NE    East-2  ( 5- 9, 77.6)    11- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Tilton School           7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.34
   409 A Phillips Exeter         2-12     -10   -13           0.00
   413 H Moses Brown             2- 8      -6    -3    -     -2.29
   416 H Kimball Union           8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.36
   420 H Northfield Mt Hermon    5- 8      -3     1          n/a  
   422 H Thayer Academy          5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   423 A Vermont Academy        12- 8       4     1    +      2.37
   427 A Brewster Academy        8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.85
   430 H Tabor Academy           4-13      -9    -8          -0.78
   504 H Proctor                11- 2       9    11          -1.00
   506 H Eden Prairie            3- 6      -3   -10          n/a  
   511 A Pomfret                 1- 7      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   513 H Pingree                12-10       2    -2    ++     4.66
   514 A Holderness              4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   516 A Winchendon              6-14      -8    -8           0.42
   518 A Worcester Academy      11- 9       2     5    -     -3.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Northfield Mt Hermon    5- 8      -3     1    --         
   413 H Moses Brown             2- 8      -6    -3    -     -2.29
   518 A Worcester Academy      11- 9       2     5    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Brewster Academy        8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.85
   506 H Eden Prairie            3- 6      -3   -10    +++        
   406 A Tilton School           7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.34
   416 H Kimball Union           8- 6       2    -2    ++     4.36
   511 A Pomfret                 1- 7      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   513 H Pingree                12-10       2    -2    ++     4.66
   422 H Thayer Academy          5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   423 A Vermont Academy        12- 8       4     1    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.46 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.93 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/