Catoctin                      4 - 6


 
                                     Region = MD 21 West             
   Nickname = D Cougars              Coach  =   Bill Derbyshire       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   77.9916534    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Frederick              MD 32 West    ( 0-13, 66.2)    11- 4   
 405 A Middletown             MD 32 West    (10- 4, 79.5)     9-13   
 407 H Brunswick              MD 21 West    ( 4-10, 70.3)    13- 4   
 411 A Smithsburg             MD 21 West    (10- 5, 80.8)     4-13   
 414 H South Hagerstown       MD 21 West    ( 1-10, 62.2)   
 416 N Glenelg HS             MD 21 North   (13- 5, 89.4)     5-16   
 419 H Middletown             MD 32 West    (10- 4, 79.5)    11-12  o
 421 A Brunswick              MD 21 West    ( 4-10, 70.3)    10- 8   
 426 H North Hagerstown       MD 32 West    ( 1-11, 62.2)   
 428 H Tuscarora              MD 21 West    ( 8- 7, 73.4)    11- 5   
 502 H Walkersville           MD 21 West    ( 8- 6, 81.9)     6-14   
 505 A South Hagerstown       MD 21 West    ( 1-10, 62.2)   
 509 A Thomas Johnson         MD 43 North   ( 1-11, 68.4)   
 512 H Smithsburg             MD 21 West    (10- 5, 80.8)     6-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Frederick              11- 4       7     8          -1.41
   405 A Middletown              9-13      -4    -6    +      2.38
   407 H Brunswick              13- 4       9     4    ++     4.65
   411 A Smithsburg              4-13      -9    -7          -1.35
   416 N Glenelg HS              5-16     -11   -15           0.00
   419 H Middletown             11-12  o   -1    -4    +      3.85
   421 A Brunswick              10- 8       2     2          -0.82
   428 H Tuscarora              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.79
   502 H Walkersville            6-14      -8    -7          -0.76
   512 H Smithsburg              6-13      -7    -6          -0.87


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Brunswick              13- 4       9     4    ++     4.65
   428 H Tuscarora              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.79
   405 A Middletown              9-13      -4    -6    +      2.38
   419 H Middletown             11-12  o   -1    -4    +      3.85




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.86 Local Power Rank...........    83
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.07 Local SOS Rank.............    83
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    85
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    72
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0


  
/