Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Pat Collins           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4198532    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.9)     7-11   
 405 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 75.2)    15- 6   
 407 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.7)     7-11   
 411 A Copaigue               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 70.6)    15- 4   
 413 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.8)     9-10   
 415 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)    12- 9   
 419 A Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 88.5)     4-15   
 421 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 85.7)     7- 9   
 425 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.5)     6-10   
 427 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 76.6)    14- 7   
 429 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 99.3)     2-14   
 430 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.0)     2- 8   
 503 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 87.2)    13-11   
 509 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.2)    15- 9   
 511 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 80.8)     9- 5   
 513 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     4-17   
 518 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 85.7)     7- 4   
 520 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     8-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Lindenhurst             7-11      -4    -4           0.22
   405 H Walt Whitman           15- 6       9     8           0.25
   407 H Sachem East             7-11      -4    -2          -1.33
   411 A Copaigue               15- 4      11    12           0.00
   413 H William Floyd           9-10      -1    -4    +      3.82
   415 A Bay Shore              12- 9       3     2           0.88
   419 A Smithtown               4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.21
   421 A East Islip              7- 9      -2    -2           0.99
   425 A Northport               6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.78
   427 H Longwood               14- 7       7     7          -0.38
   429 A Ward Melville           2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   430 A Hauppauge               2- 8      -6     0    ---   -6.71
   503 H Half Hollow Hills East 13-11       2    -3    ++     5.26
   509 A North Babylon          15- 9       6     7          -1.56
   511 H Middle Country          9- 5       4     3           0.82
   513 H West Islip              4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   518 A East Islip              7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.99
   520 A West Islip              8-14      -6   -17    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Hauppauge               2- 8      -6     0    ---   -6.71
   419 A Smithtown               4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Northport               6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.78
   503 H Half Hollow Hills East 13-11       2    -3    ++     5.26
   518 A East Islip              7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.99
   520 A West Islip              8-14      -6   -17    ++     4.00
   413 H William Floyd           9-10      -1    -4    +      3.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.36 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.17 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/