Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Tom Holb              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.6325684    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 80.5)     5- 9   
 407 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (10- 7, 83.8)     7-14   
 409 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   (10- 9, 77.0)     7-10   
 412 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 75.9)    13- 4   
 414 H Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 80.5)     7-10   
 416 H St Joseph Central      MA 2          ( 1-15, 71.5)    11- 1   
 418 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 78.2)     7- 8   
 420 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (10- 9, 85.4)    15-14  o
 422 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (10- 7, 83.8)     7-16   
 426 A Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   (15- 5, 81.5)    10- 7   
 428 N Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (22- 1, 99.9)     2-19   
 503 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 75.9)     5- 4   
 505 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (15- 6, 87.9)     8-14   
 507 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-11, 65.1)    12- 0   
 510 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 85.5)     4-13   
 512 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 69.8)    11- 5   
 513 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-11, 78.2)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Saratoga Spgs           5- 9      -4    -2          -1.50
   407 A Bethlehem               7-14      -7    -6          -0.93
   409 H LaSalle Institute       7-10      -3     1    --    -4.06
   412 H Columbia               13- 4       9     2    +++    6.85
   414 H Saratoga Spgs           7-10      -3    -2          -0.50
   416 H St Joseph Central      11- 1      10     6          n/a  
   418 H Ballston Spa            7- 8      -1     0          -0.82
   420 A Shaker                 15-14  o    1    -7    +++    8.62
   422 H Bethlehem               7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.23
   426 A Glens Falls            10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.73
   428 N Niskayuna               2-19     -17   -22           0.00
   503 A Columbia                5- 4       1     1          -0.85
   505 A Guilderland             8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   507 H Johnstown              12- 0      12    12           0.00
   510 H Shenendehowa            4-13      -9    -7          -1.58
   512 H South Glens Falls      11- 5       6     8    -     -2.22
   513 A Ballston Spa            7- 8      -1     0          -0.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H LaSalle Institute       7-10      -3     1    --    -4.06
   422 H Bethlehem               7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.23
   512 H South Glens Falls      11- 5       6     8    -     -2.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Columbia               13- 4       9     2    +++    6.85
   420 A Shaker                 15-14  o    1    -7    +++    8.62
   426 A Glens Falls            10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.73
   505 A Guilderland             8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   416 H St Joseph Central      11- 1      10     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.89 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.27 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/