Region = PA    3DWEST           
   Nickname = A Colts                Coach  =   David Travis          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.6318970    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 307 A Central Catholic       PA    2DWEST  (17- 6, 94.3)     2-24   
 318 A Peters Township        PA    1DWEST  ( 7-14, 87.0)     2-14   
 323 H Fairmont               PA    Indep   ( 0- 5, 63.7)    14- 4   
 330 H Canon-McMillan         PA    3DWEST  ( 3-11, 73.2)     7- 8   
 406 A Taylor Allderdice      PA    3DWEST  (12-10, 83.1)     4-13   
 411 A Pine Richland          PA    2DWEST  (11-10, 89.9)     1-14   
 413 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    3DWEST  (15- 2, 88.5)     3-10   
 418 H Butler Area            PA    2DWEST  ( 0-16, 66.9)    10- 1   
 420 A Morgantown             PA    3DWEST  ( 5- 9, 77.4)    13-10   
 423 A Winchester Thurston    PA    3DWEST  ( 8- 7, 77.8)     4- 5   
 425 A Erie-Spears            PA    Indep   ( 4- 6, 73.2)     2- 0   
 428 A Baldwin                PA    2DWEST  ( 8-11, 84.9)     3-11   
 502 H Kiski Prep             PA    3DWEST  ( 7- 8, 74.9)     8- 1   
 504 H University             PA    3DWEST  ( 6-12, 74.7)    13- 1   
 509 A North Hills            PA    2DWEST  (10- 6, 88.1)     2-14   
 511 H Erie-McDowell          PA    3DWEST  ( 6- 7, 79.2)     8- 6   
 517 H Vincentian Academy     PA    3DWEST  ( 2-10, 67.2)    11- 0   
 520 A Taylor Allderdice      PA    3DWEST  (12-10, 83.1)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Central Catholic        2-24     -22   -17           0.00
   318 A Peters Township         2-14     -12   -10           0.00
   323 H Fairmont               14- 4      10    16           0.00
   330 H Canon-McMillan          7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.49
   406 A Taylor Allderdice       4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.56
   411 A Pine Richland           1-14     -13   -13           0.00
   413 A Greensburg Cath Cent    3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   418 H Butler Area            10- 1       9    12          -1.00
   420 A Morgantown             13-10       3     0    +      3.71
   423 A Winchester Thurston     4- 5      -1    -1           0.17
   425 A Erie-Spears             2- 0       2     3          -1.46
   428 A Baldwin                 3-11      -8    -8           0.26
   502 H Kiski Prep              8- 1       7     4    +      2.18
   504 H University             13- 1      12     4    ++     5.07
   509 A North Hills             2-14     -12   -11           0.00
   511 H Erie-McDowell           8- 6       2     0           1.53
   517 H Vincentian Academy     11- 0      11    12           0.00
   520 A Taylor Allderdice       7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Canon-McMillan          7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.49
   406 A Taylor Allderdice       4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H University             13- 1      12     4    ++     5.07
   520 A Taylor Allderdice       7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.44
   413 A Greensburg Cath Cent    3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   420 A Morgantown             13-10       3     0    +      3.71
   502 H Kiski Prep              8- 1       7     4    +      2.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.16 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.15 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/