Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Tigers               Coach  =   Glen Estacio          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.3129578    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (14- 3, 99.6)     6-13   
 308 H SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      (11- 4, 89.8)    13-12   
 315 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Prvate  ( 9-11, 86.4)     8- 7   
 321 H Charlotte Cou Day      NC    Prvate  (14- 9, 96.4)    11-10 2o
 324 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 2, 99.9)     6- 7   
 331 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    ( 7-11, 86.4)     7-10   
 401 N Cherry Creek           CO    Centenn (17- 2, 99.9)     5-15   
 406 H Mount Tabor            NC    4A      (17- 3, 96.4)    12- 7   
 412 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9-10, 88.6)    12-13   
 414 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 2, 99.9)     5- 8   
 415 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    10- 1   
 419 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 7, 92.2)     4- 8   
 421 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9-10, 88.6)    15- 9   
 426 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    11- 1   
 427 A Apex                   NC    4A      (23- 1, 99.4)     5-10   
 429 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      (11- 7, 92.2)    10- 4   
 503 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9-10, 88.6)    12-13   
 510 H Athens Drive           NC    4A      (13- 6, 88.6)    11- 6   
 513 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (10- 6, 87.1)    14- 2   
 518 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 2, 99.9)     3- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Durham Academy          6-13      -7   -10          n/a  
   308 H SouthEast Raleigh      13-12       1     1          -0.63
   315 H Cardinal Gibbons        8- 7       1     5          n/a  
   321 H Charlotte Cou Day      11-10 2o    1    -5          n/a  
   324 H East Chapel Hill        6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.43
   331 A St Johns DC             7-10      -3     2          n/a  
   401 N Cherry Creek            5-15     -10    -9          n/a  
   406 H Mount Tabor            12- 7       5    -4    +++    9.89
   412 A Durham Jordan          12-13      -1     0          -1.93
   414 A East Chapel Hill        5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   415 H Northern Durham        10- 1       9    20          -1.00
   419 H Durham Riverside        4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.27
   421 H Durham Jordan          15- 9       6     2    +      3.13
   426 A Northern Durham        11- 1      10    18           0.00
   427 A Apex                    5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.89
   429 A Durham Riverside       10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.68
   503 H Durham Jordan          12-13      -1     2    -     -3.87
   510 H Athens Drive           11- 6       5     2    +      2.17
   513 H Wilmington Hoggard     14- 2      12     4    ++     5.66
   518 A East Chapel Hill        3- 4      -1   -10    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Cardinal Gibbons        8- 7       1     5    --         
   331 A St Johns DC             7-10      -3     2    --         
   419 H Durham Riverside        4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.27
   503 H Durham Jordan          12-13      -1     2    -     -3.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Charlotte Cou Day      11-10 2o    1    -5    +++        
   324 H East Chapel Hill        6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.43
   406 H Mount Tabor            12- 7       5    -4    +++    9.89
   414 A East Chapel Hill        5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   429 A Durham Riverside       10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.68
   518 A East Chapel Hill        3- 4      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   427 A Apex                    5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.89
   513 H Wilmington Hoggard     14- 2      12     4    ++     5.66
   304 A Durham Academy          6-13      -7   -10    +          
   421 H Durham Jordan          15- 9       6     2    +      3.13
   510 H Athens Drive           11- 6       5     2    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.50 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.38 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/