Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ    Grp-IV           
   Nickname = J Colts                Coach  =   Dave Santos           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0343094    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 N Grandview              CO    Centenn ( 9- 4, 90.6)    10- 8   
 405 H Peddie School          NJ    Private ( 6-10, 82.1)     9- 6   
 407 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 82.1)    11- 6   
 409 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 71.6)    12- 1   
 412 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-II  (14- 6, 83.3)     9- 2   
 414 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 7, 78.9)    11- 2   
 416 H Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (10- 8, 88.0)     9- 7   
 418 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-10, 70.1)    15- 3   
 420 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (19- 4, 91.9)     6-10   
 426 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-III ( 7-15, 77.0)    13- 4   
 427 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (21- 1, 99.9)     4-16   
 430 H North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 81.6)    16- 9   
 502 A Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-II  ( 2-11, 64.1)    18- 2   
 504 H Princeton HS           NJ    Grp-III (10- 9, 84.1)    11- 9   
 509 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-I   ( 5-11, 69.9)    16- 1   
 511 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-12, 81.5)     5- 7   
 512 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-14, 65.7)    16- 0   
 516 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 71.6)    19- 4   
 518 H Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 7, 78.9)    17- 9   
 521 N Manasquan              NJ    Grp-II  (14- 6, 83.3)    15- 5   
 525 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 4, 84.3)    12- 3   
 528 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 7, 89.6)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Grandview              10- 8       2     0          n/a  
   405 H Peddie School           9- 6       3     8    --    -5.62
   407 A Rumson-Fair Haven      11- 6       5     6          -1.64
   409 A Southern Regional      12- 1      11    17           0.00
   412 H Manasquan               9- 2       7     7          -0.40
   414 A Howell                 11- 2       9     9          -0.92
   416 H Moorestown              9- 7       2     2          -0.68
   418 A Freehold Township      15- 3      12    18           0.00
   420 A Hunterdon Central       6-10      -4    -3          -0.84
   426 A St Joseph Metuchen     13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   427 A Lawrenceville           4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   430 H North Hunterdon        16- 9       7     9    -     -2.15
   502 A Colt's Neck            18- 2      16    24           0.00
   504 H Princeton HS           11- 9       2     6    --    -4.62
   509 H St Rose Belmar         16- 1      15    20           0.00
   511 A Bridgewater-Raritan     5- 7      -2     7    ---   -9.27
   512 A Red Bank Catholic      16- 0      16    23           0.00
   516 H Southern Regional      19- 4      15    19           0.00
   518 H Howell                 17- 9       8    11    -     -2.00
   521 N Manasquan              15- 5      10     6    +      3.56
   525 H South Brunswick        12- 3       9     6    +      2.58
   528 A Seton Hall Prep         4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Bridgewater-Raritan     5- 7      -2     7    ---   -9.27
   405 H Peddie School           9- 6       3     8    --    -5.62
   504 H Princeton HS           11- 9       2     6    --    -4.62
   528 A Seton Hall Prep         4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.18
   430 H North Hunterdon        16- 9       7     9    -     -2.15
   518 H Howell                 17- 9       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Grandview              10- 8       2     0    +          
   521 N Manasquan              15- 5      10     6    +      3.56
   525 H South Brunswick        12- 3       9     6    +      2.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.75 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.36 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/