Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Barons               Coach  =   Mark McMillan         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1982651    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 N Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 77.2)    12- 5   
 405 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 75.9)    12- 2   
 407 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (18- 3, 95.0)     5-17   
 409 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.4)    17- 6   
 412 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.3)    12- 6   
 414 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.8)    15- 6   
 419 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 81.3)    11-10   
 421 A Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   (11- 9, 83.0)    10- 7   
 426 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 77.2)    17- 7   
 428 H Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-10, 78.1)    12- 3   
 503 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 75.9)    13- 8   
 505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (18- 3, 95.0)     7-12   
 510 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.4)    13- 5   
 512 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.3)    14- 7   
 514 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-10, 78.1)     7- 5   
 516 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.8)    14- 3   
 521 H Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (11- 9, 89.0)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 N Eastridge              12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   405 A Hilton                 12- 2      10    11           0.00
   407 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.03
   409 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  17- 6      11    14           0.00
   412 H Spencerport            12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   414 A Gates-Chili            15- 6       9    11          -1.00
   419 A McQuaid Jesuit         11-10       1     6    --    -5.19
   421 A Aquinas Institute      10- 7       3     4          -1.44
   426 H Eastridge              17- 7      10    12           0.00
   428 H Churchville-Chili      12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   503 H Hilton                 13- 8       5    14    --    -5.00
   505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7-12      -5    -7    +      2.52
   510 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   512 A Spencerport            14- 7       7     9    -     -2.22
   514 A Churchville-Chili       7- 5       2     9    ---   -7.44
   516 H Gates-Chili            14- 3      11    14           0.00
   521 H Geneva                  6-17     -11     1    ---  -11.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Churchville-Chili       7- 5       2     9    ---   -7.44
   521 H Geneva                  6-17     -11     1    ---  -11.00
   407 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.03
   412 H Spencerport            12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   419 A McQuaid Jesuit         11-10       1     6    --    -5.19
   503 H Hilton                 13- 8       5    14    --    -5.00
   326 N Eastridge              12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   510 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   512 A Spencerport            14- 7       7     9    -     -2.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7-12      -5    -7    +      2.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.76 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.06 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/