Region = CT 1  SCIAC            
   Nickname = T Hornets              Coach  =   Brian Adkins          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6926422    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 3-14, 75.4)    10- 5   
 413 A East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)    12- 2   
 416 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (18- 3, 94.0)     8- 6   
 419 H North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 5-13, 82.3)    15- 0   
 421 H West Haven             CT 2  SCIAC   ( 6-11, 83.7)    17- 1   
 423 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-11, 79.7)    14- 3   
 428 A Cheshire HS            CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8-10, 81.5)    11- 5   
 430 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)    16- 5   
 503 A Ridgefield             CT 1  FCIAC   ( 7-10, 83.3)    14- 0   
 505 H Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 8-10, 87.1)    12- 1   
 507 A Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   (10- 8, 89.0)    13- 4   
 512 A Xavier-Middletown      CT 1  SCIAC   (12- 6, 83.5)    14- 3   
 516 A Hall-West Hartford     CT 1  CCIAC   ( 7- 8, 80.7)    12- 6   
 519 A Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 87.5)    12- 9   
 521 A Ledyard                CT 2  ECIAC   ( 8- 8, 86.9)    14- 7   
 524 H Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 83.9)    10- 2   
 528 H Cheshire HS            CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8-10, 81.5)    13- 1   
 531 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (18- 3, 94.0)     6-17   
 604 H Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 87.5)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Newtown                10- 5       5    15    --    -5.00
   413 A East Lyme              12- 2      10    10           0.00
   416 H Daniel Hand-Madison     8- 6       2     0           1.95
   419 H North Haven            15- 0      15    11          n/a  
   421 H West Haven             17- 1      16    10          n/a  
   423 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      14- 3      11    14           0.00
   428 A Cheshire HS            11- 5       6     9    -     -3.94
   430 H Guilford               16- 5      11    12           0.00
   503 A Ridgefield             14- 0      14     8           1.93
   505 H Morgan-Clinton         12- 1      11     6          n/a  
   507 A Hamden                 13- 4       9     2          n/a  
   512 A Xavier-Middletown      14- 3      11     7    +      2.09
   516 A Hall-West Hartford     12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   519 A Fairfield Prep         12- 9       3     3          -0.90
   521 A Ledyard                14- 7       7     4          n/a  
   524 H Amity Regional         10- 2       8    10    -     -2.00
   528 H Cheshire HS            13- 1      12    12           0.00
   531 H Daniel Hand-Madison     6-17     -11     0    ---  -10.05
   604 H Fairfield Prep          5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   531 H Daniel Hand-Madison     6-17     -11     0    ---  -10.05
   604 H Fairfield Prep          5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.53
   409 A Newtown                10- 5       5    15    --    -5.00
   516 A Hall-West Hartford     12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   428 A Cheshire HS            11- 5       6     9    -     -3.94
   524 H Amity Regional         10- 2       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Hamden                 13- 4       9     2    +++        
   505 H Morgan-Clinton         12- 1      11     6    +          
   512 A Xavier-Middletown      14- 3      11     7    +      2.09
   521 A Ledyard                14- 7       7     4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.73 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.84 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/