Region = CT 1  SWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   John Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7599945    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Ridgefield             CT 1  FCIAC   ( 7-10, 83.3)    12- 7   
 412 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (18- 3, 94.0)     7-15   
 414 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 87.2)    17- 1   
 416 A Simsbury               CT 1  CCIAC   (13- 4, 91.0)     8- 7   
 419 H New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (16- 6, 96.5)    14- 1   
 422 H New Canaan             CT 1  FCIAC   (14- 6, 90.8)     5- 8   
 426 H Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 87.5)    14- 5   
 429 H Greenwich              CT 1  FCIAC   (12- 7, 91.1)     4-13   
 503 A New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 92.6)    14- 6   
 505 H Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 3-14, 75.4)    15- 3   
 510 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)    15- 8   
 514 H Glastonbury            CT 1  CCIAC   (11- 6, 87.0)     9-10   
 517 H Immaculate Danbury     CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8- 8, 90.0)    14- 2   
 519 A Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 95.4)    12- 5   
 521 A Wilton                 CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 5, 94.4)     4-14   
 524 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 92.2)     8- 7   
 601 N Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 3-14, 75.4)     8- 2   
 604 A Somers                 CT 1  NWCIAC  (16- 4, 92.8)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Ridgefield             12- 7       5     5          -0.59
   412 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.94
   414 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   17- 1      16     4          n/a  
   416 A Simsbury                8- 7       1    -2    +      3.08
   419 H New Fairfield          14- 1      13    -5          n/a  
   422 H New Canaan              5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.72
   426 H Fairfield Prep         14- 5       9     4    ++     4.95
   429 H Greenwich               4-13      -9     0    ---   -9.43
   503 A New Milford            14- 6       8    -3          n/a  
   505 H Newtown                15- 3      12    16           0.00
   510 H Guilford               15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   514 H Glastonbury             9-10      -1     4    --    -5.53
   517 H Immaculate Danbury     14- 2      12     1          n/a  
   519 A Weston                 12- 5       7    -6          n/a  
   521 A Wilton                  4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.50
   524 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   8- 7       1     0           1.67
   601 N Newtown                 8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   604 A Somers                  8-11      -3    -3           0.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Greenwich               4-13      -9     0    ---   -9.43
   514 H Glastonbury             9-10      -1     4    --    -5.53
   521 A Wilton                  4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.50
   601 N Newtown                 8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   412 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.94
   422 H New Canaan              5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.72
   510 H Guilford               15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H New Fairfield          14- 1      13    -5    +++        
   503 A New Milford            14- 6       8    -3    +++        
   517 H Immaculate Danbury     14- 2      12     1    +++        
   519 A Weston                 12- 5       7    -6    +++        
   414 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   17- 1      16     4    ++         
   426 H Fairfield Prep         14- 5       9     4    ++     4.95
   416 A Simsbury                8- 7       1    -2    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.25 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.93 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/