Region = CT 2  NWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Gene Macey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0363007    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (12- 8, 93.3)     4-15   
 412 H New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (16- 6, 96.5)     6- 7   
 415 H Tolland                CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 7, 90.2)    12- 6   
 421 A Simsbury               CT 1  CCIAC   (13- 4, 91.0)     4-16   
 423 A Newington              CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 75.3)    11-10 2o
 427 A Northwest Catholic     CT 2  NWCIAC  (15- 6, 95.8)     5-15   
 429 H Somers                 CT 1  NWCIAC  (16- 4, 92.8)     3-19   
 503 H Old Lyme               CT 2  Indep   (15- 1, 99.9)     2-14   
 507 H Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 79.9)    14- 8   
 510 H North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 5-13, 82.3)     9- 5   
 512 A Suffield HS            CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 6, 90.1)    13-12   
 517 A New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (10- 7, 92.6)     4- 8   
 519 A Windsor                CT 1  CCIAC   ( 5-11, 78.1)     8- 7  o
 521 A Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 6-10, 84.7)    17-13   
 524 H Ellington              CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 9- 8, 86.8)    10- 2   
 526 A Granby                 CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 3-12, 79.9)    16-10   
 531 A Somers                 CT 1  NWCIAC  (16- 4, 92.8)     3-14   
 602 H Immaculate Danbury     CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8- 8, 90.0)    11-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Farmington              4-15     -11    -4    --    -5.31
   412 H New Fairfield           6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.93
   415 H Tolland                12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.64
   421 A Simsbury                4-16     -12    -4          n/a  
   423 A Newington              11-10 2o    1    11          n/a  
   427 A Northwest Catholic      5-15     -10    -8          -1.29
   429 H Somers                  3-19     -16    -3          n/a  
   503 H Old Lyme                2-14     -12   -11           0.00
   507 H Norwich Free Academy   14- 8       6     8    -     -2.68
   510 H North Haven             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.32
   512 A Suffield HS            13-12       1    -2    +      3.96
   517 A New Milford             4- 8      -4    -5           1.49
   519 A Windsor                 8- 7  o    1     8          n/a  
   521 A Stonington             17-13       4     2           1.54
   524 H Ellington              10- 2       8     1    +++    6.20
   526 A Granby                 16-10       6     7          -1.24
   531 A Somers                  3-14     -11    -5          n/a  
   602 H Immaculate Danbury     11-13      -2    -1          -0.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Newington              11-10 2o    1    11    ---        
   429 H Somers                  3-19     -16    -3    ---        
   519 A Windsor                 8- 7  o    1     8    ---        
   407 H Farmington              4-15     -11    -4    --    -5.31
   421 A Simsbury                4-16     -12    -4    --         
   531 A Somers                  3-14     -11    -5    --         
   507 H Norwich Free Academy   14- 8       6     8    -     -2.68
   510 H North Haven             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H New Fairfield           6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.93
   415 H Tolland                12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.64
   524 H Ellington              10- 2       8     1    +++    6.20
   512 A Suffield HS            13-12       1    -2    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.86 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.37 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/