Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Chris Baranello       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2494659    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 5-10, 74.9)    14- 6   
 304 H Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 6- 8, 83.0)    10- 6   
 307 H W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 4-12, 77.8)    11- 0   
 311 H SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      (11- 4, 89.8)    12-14   
 315 A W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 4-12, 77.8)    11- 1   
 405 H Triton                 NC    3A/2A   ( 7-10, 79.2)    10- 4   
 407 A Wakefield-Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 2-12, 75.5)    11- 6   
 412 H Broughton-Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 7- 8, 82.3)     9- 6   
 414 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Prvate  ( 9-11, 86.4)     9- 2   
 415 A Triton                 NC    3A/2A   ( 7-10, 79.2)    10- 2   
 418 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 2-17, 70.5)    13- 3   
 419 A Green Hope             NC    4A      (10- 6, 88.5)     9-12   
 422 A Apex                   NC    4A      (23- 1, 99.4)     1-11   
 426 H Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 3-12, 73.1)    14- 2   
 429 H Green Hope             NC    4A      (10- 6, 88.5)     4- 6   
 503 H Apex                   NC    4A      (23- 1, 99.4)     1- 8   
 504 H Wakefield-Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 2-12, 75.5)    11- 4   
 506 A Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 3-12, 73.1)    11- 1   
 510 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (10-10, 90.5)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Cedar Ridge            14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   304 H Wilmington Laney       10- 6       4     6    -     -2.59
   307 H W.G. Enloe             11- 0      11    11           0.00
   311 H SouthEast Raleigh      12-14      -2     0          -1.77
   315 A W.G. Enloe             11- 1      10     9           0.13
   405 H Triton                 10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   407 A Wakefield-Raleigh      11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   412 H Broughton-Raleigh       9- 6       3     7    --    -4.33
   414 A Cardinal Gibbons        9- 2       7     1          n/a  
   415 A Triton                 10- 2       8     8          -0.51
   418 A Northern Durham        13- 3      10    17           0.00
   419 A Green Hope              9-12      -3     0    -     -2.20
   422 A Apex                    1-11     -10   -11           0.00
   426 H Cary HS                14- 2      12    16           0.00
   429 H Green Hope              4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.14
   503 H Apex                    1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.81
   504 H Wakefield-Raleigh      11- 4       7    14    -     -3.00
   506 A Cary HS                11- 1      10    14           0.00
   510 A Chapel Hill             6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Triton                 10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   407 A Wakefield-Raleigh      11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   412 H Broughton-Raleigh       9- 6       3     7    --    -4.33
   302 H Cedar Ridge            14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   304 H Wilmington Laney       10- 6       4     6    -     -2.59
   419 A Green Hope              9-12      -3     0    -     -2.20
   429 H Green Hope              4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.14
   504 H Wakefield-Raleigh      11- 4       7    14    -     -3.00
   510 A Chapel Hill             6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Cardinal Gibbons        9- 2       7     1    ++         
   503 H Apex                    1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.64 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.70 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/