Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Little Irish         Coach  =   Alex Ewing            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9100037    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 85.4)     7-10   
 405 H Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 75.1)    13- 2   
 407 H Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.1)    13- 4   
 409 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 81.3)     5- 4   
 412 H Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 93.7)     7- 6   
 413 H St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (18- 2, 94.1)     7-13   
 416 H Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (14- 7, 87.3)    11- 4   
 420 N Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.1)    10- 8   
 421 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   (14- 3, 88.8)     7-10   
 422 A Newark                 NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 74.3)    13-11   
 423 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 89.4)     2-15   
 428 A Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.1)    11- 3   
 503 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.4)    12- 9   
 504 A Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (10-10, 81.3)     9-10   
 505 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (18- 1, 99.9)     1-15   
 507 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 81.3)     5-13   
 509 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.4)    16-11   
 514 H Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (11- 9, 89.0)     8-13   
 519 H Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 73.1)    10- 2   
 521 H Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (14- 7, 87.3)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Victor                  7-10      -3    -3           0.59
   405 H Mynderse Academy       13- 2      11     9           0.73
   407 H Bath-Haverling         13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   409 H McQuaid Jesuit          5- 4       1     3    -     -2.03
   412 H Nichols                 7- 6       1    -9          n/a  
   413 H St Francis              7-13      -6    -9          n/a  
   416 H Waterloo               11- 4       7    -2    +++    9.93
   420 N Bath-Haverling         10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.92
   421 H Brighton                7-10      -3    -4           1.44
   422 A Newark                 13-11       2     7    --    -5.43
   423 H Pittsford               2-15     -13    -5    --    -4.97
   428 A Bath-Haverling         11- 3       8     8          -0.64
   503 A Livonia                12- 9       3     3          -0.36
   504 A Palmyra-Macedon         9-10      -1     0          -1.42
   505 A Penfield                1-15     -14   -18           0.00
   507 A McQuaid Jesuit          5-13      -8     0    ---   -8.48
   509 H Livonia                16-11       5     5          -0.91
   514 H Geneva                  8-13      -5    -4          -0.29
   519 H Bath-Haverling         10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   521 H Waterloo                4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 N Bath-Haverling         10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.92
   507 A McQuaid Jesuit          5-13      -8     0    ---   -8.48
   521 H Waterloo                4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.07
   422 A Newark                 13-11       2     7    --    -5.43
   423 H Pittsford               2-15     -13    -5    --    -4.97
   409 H McQuaid Jesuit          5- 4       1     3    -     -2.03
   519 H Bath-Haverling         10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Nichols                 7- 6       1    -9    +++        
   416 H Waterloo               11- 4       7    -2    +++    9.93
   413 H St Francis              7-13      -6    -9    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.05 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.59 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/