Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8184814    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Algonquin              MA 2          (13- 9, 94.9)     9- 4   
 408 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (16- 3, 88.1)     8-13   
 412 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (16- 6, 88.9)     5- 4   
 415 H Haverhill              MA 1          (10-10, 75.1)    10- 1   
 418 A North Andover          MA 2          (18- 5, 86.1)     5-10   
 421 A Lexington HS           MA 1          (12- 6, 82.1)     8- 7   
 426 H Tyngsborough           MA 3          ( 5-13, 70.4)    13- 2   
 429 A Billerica              MA 1          (15- 5, 88.2)     7- 6   
 503 A Concord Carlisle       MA 2          ( 7-10, 77.5)    11- 4   
 506 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (16- 3, 88.1)    11-12  o
 509 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 0-16, 60.9)    20- 1   
 511 H Billerica              MA 1          (15- 5, 88.2)     4-14   
 517 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 8- 8, 74.4)    10- 3   
 519 H Lawrence Cath Central  MA 2          ( 4-13, 64.7)    17- 1   
 523 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          ( 1-15, 72.2)    13- 5   
 526 A Franklin               MA 2          ( 9-11, 74.8)    14- 6   
 604 H Beverly                MA 1          (12- 6, 84.6)    11-10   
 608 A Duxbury                MA 1          (23- 1, 99.9)     3-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Algonquin               9- 4       5    -9          n/a  
   408 H Chelmsford              8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.59
   412 H Lincoln-Sudbury         5- 4       1    -2    +      3.21
   415 H Haverhill              10- 1       9    11          -1.00
   418 A North Andover           5-10      -5     0    --    -4.13
   421 A Lexington HS            8- 7       1     3    -     -2.10
   426 H Tyngsborough           13- 2      11    16           0.00
   429 A Billerica               7- 6       1    -2    +      3.96
   503 A Concord Carlisle       11- 4       7     7          -0.72
   506 A Chelmsford             11-12  o   -1    -2           1.87
   509 A Tewksbury Memorial     20- 1      19    24           0.00
   511 H Billerica               4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.51
   517 A Lowell                 10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   519 H Lawrence Cath Central  17- 1      16    21           0.00
   523 A Acton Boxborough       13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   526 A Franklin               14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   604 H Beverly                11-10       1     2          -1.12
   608 A Duxbury                 3-20     -17   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Billerica               4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.51
   418 A North Andover           5-10      -5     0    --    -4.13
   408 H Chelmsford              8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.59
   421 A Lexington HS            8- 7       1     3    -     -2.10
   517 A Lowell                 10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   523 A Acton Boxborough       13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   526 A Franklin               14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Algonquin               9- 4       5    -9    +++        
   412 H Lincoln-Sudbury         5- 4       1    -2    +      3.21
   429 A Billerica               7- 6       1    -2    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.96 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.88 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
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