Region = PA    3DWEST           
   Nickname = A Dragons              Coach  =   Mike Jayson           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.4586182    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Bethel Park            PA    2DWEST  (15- 5, 94.0)     1-13   
 329 A Central Catholic       PA    2DWEST  (17- 6, 94.3)     2-13   
 331 A Peters Township        PA    1DWEST  ( 7-14, 87.0)     0- 1   
 402 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    3DWEST  (15- 2, 88.5)     5-13   
 404 A Pine Richland          PA    2DWEST  (11-10, 89.9)     6-18   
 406 H Chartiers Valley       PA    3DWEST  ( 8-10, 78.2)    13- 4   
 408 A North Hills            PA    2DWEST  (10- 6, 88.1)     5-10   
 413 H Quaker Valley          PA    2DWEST  ( 4-14, 76.3)    13- 4   
 416 A Erie-Spears            PA    Indep   ( 4- 6, 73.2)    14- 2   
 416 A Erie-McDowell          PA    3DWEST  ( 6- 7, 79.2)    10- 9   
 418 A Kiski Prep             PA    3DWEST  ( 7- 8, 74.9)    18- 1   
 420 H Winchester Thurston    PA    3DWEST  ( 8- 7, 77.8)     8- 4   
 428 H Shaler Area            PA    2DWEST  ( 4-10, 79.1)    13- 8   
 430 A Baldwin                PA    2DWEST  ( 8-11, 84.9)     5-15   
 502 A Fox Chapel             PA    2DWEST  ( 5-10, 84.2)    15-16   
 504 H Morgantown             PA    3DWEST  ( 5- 9, 77.4)     6- 4   
 509 H Vincentian Academy     PA    3DWEST  ( 2-10, 67.2)    16- 1   
 511 H Canon-McMillan         PA    3DWEST  ( 3-11, 73.2)    11- 5   
 513 A Hampton                PA    2DWEST  ( 7-10, 86.5)     3-16   
 516 A University             PA    3DWEST  ( 6-12, 74.7)    14- 6   
 520 H Chartiers Valley       PA    3DWEST  ( 8-10, 78.2)     8- 7   
 521 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    3DWEST  (15- 2, 88.5)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Bethel Park             1-13     -12   -12           0.00
   329 A Central Catholic        2-13     -11   -12           0.00
   402 A Greensburg Cath Cent    5-13      -8    -6          -1.01
   404 A Pine Richland           6-18     -12    -8          -1.64
   406 H Chartiers Valley       13- 4       9     6    +      2.56
   408 A North Hills             5-10      -5    -6           1.51
   413 H Quaker Valley          13- 4       9     8           0.70
   416 A Erie-Spears            14- 2      12     8           1.62
   416 A Erie-McDowell          10- 9       1     2          -1.35
   418 A Kiski Prep             18- 1      17     6    +      3.30
   420 H Winchester Thurston     8- 4       4     6    -     -2.78
   428 H Shaler Area            13- 8       5     5          -0.45
   430 A Baldwin                 5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.66
   502 A Fox Chapel             15-16      -1    -2           1.64
   504 H Morgantown              6- 4       2     7    --    -5.24
   509 H Vincentian Academy     16- 1      15    17           0.00
   511 H Canon-McMillan         11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   513 A Hampton                 3-16     -13    -4    --    -5.03
   516 A University             14- 6       8     6           1.19
   520 H Chartiers Valley        8- 7       1     6    --    -5.44
   521 A Greensburg Cath Cent    5-10      -5    -6           1.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Baldwin                 5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.66
   504 H Morgantown              6- 4       2     7    --    -5.24
   511 H Canon-McMillan         11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   513 A Hampton                 3-16     -13    -4    --    -5.03
   520 H Chartiers Valley        8- 7       1     6    --    -5.44
   420 H Winchester Thurston     8- 4       4     6    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Chartiers Valley       13- 4       9     6    +      2.56
   418 A Kiski Prep             18- 1      17     6    +      3.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.08 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.03 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/