boys probababilites for 47
boys 2004 New Jersey ABC
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Mountain Lakes Gibbs 22 2 2 2 2 2 12 1 15 20.00
2 Ridgewood Gibbs 18 5 4 11 6 4 8 4 16 8.00
3 Summit Fitch 17 4 5 12 4 5 13 5 23 3.00
4 West Essex Regio Waterm 19 4 6 21 5 8 10 7 25 1.00
5 Madison Boro Waterm 16 3 7 29 7 6 16 6 28 1.00
6 Morristown Beard Waterm 15 5 18 28 16 12 5 12 29 0.10
7 Pingry Waterm 13 4 12 23 12 11 11 9 31 0.10
8 Ramapo Gibbs 14 5 13 20 19 7 6 19 32 1.00
9 Delbarton Fitch 22 1 1 1 1 1 35 2 38 19.00
10 Moorestown Pitt 12 7 10 6 10 9 24 14 47 2.00
11 Chatham Fitch 9 8 23 4 23 14 7 29 50 0.10
12 Hunterdon Centra Pitt 14 5 9 26 13 16 19 17 52 0.10
13 Christian Bros Pitt 14 5 8 38 17 17 20 21 58 2.00
14 Montclair Gibbs 14 5 16 32 11 20 26 13 59 1.00
15 Westfield Fitch 9 11 32 3 46 19 1 43 63 0.10
16 Kinnelon Gibbs 11 8 34 17 43 23 3 39 65 0.10
17 Montgomery Curcio 17 5 22 49 22 24 18 23 65 0.10
18 Seton Hall Prep Fitch 11 10 20 7 37 26 4 41 71 0.10
19 Manasquan Bianch 14 5 28 52 29 22 22 28 72 0.10
20 Shawnee Olympi 17 1 11 95 8 13 52 8 73 0.10
21 Cherokee Olympi 14 4 46 83 24 21 32 22 75 0.10
22 Lawrenceville Pitt 16 2 3 8 3 3 70 3 76 37.00
23 Glen Ridge Kimber 15 3 19 51 15 18 46 15 79 0.10
24 West Morris Cent Fitch 12 9 27 18 33 33 14 36 83 0.10
25 Bridgewater-Rari Fitch 11 9 31 9 35 25 15 44 84 0.10
26 Columbia Fitch 11 10 25 13 42 34 2 48 84 1.00
27 Boonton Rizk 12 6 35 42 34 27 30 32 89 0.10
28 Don Bosco Prep Gibbs 12 7 29 37 32 32 29 33 94 0.10
29 Mendham Fitch 11 9 26 15 36 37 17 40 94 0.10
30 Hun School Bianch 12 4 15 35 14 15 71 11 97 0.10
31 Peddie School Pitt 10 5 14 5 9 10 80 10 100 3.00
32 West Windsor-PB Bianch 12 5 21 44 27 30 48 24 102 0.10
33 Freehold Townshi Curcio 13 4 33 73 28 29 50 30 109 0.10
34 Washington Twp Olympi 12 8 62 81 54 42 21 51 114 0.10
35 West Windsor-PB Bianch 13 5 30 66 30 38 58 31 127 0.10
36 Montclair Kim Ac Rizk 12 7 38 47 50 36 47 45 128 0.10
37 St Rose Belmar Curcio 10 6 54 60 45 41 42 46 129 0.10
38 St Augustine Pre Olympi 13 5 52 93 31 40 63 27 130 0.10
39 AL Johnson/Clark Waterm 8 9 40 34 52 52 27 53 132 0.10
40 South Brunswick Curcio 15 4 36 77 26 39 67 26 132 0.10
41 Sparta Rizk 14 3 17 55 20 28 88 16 132 0.10
42 Montville Gibbs 7 13 42 14 77 47 9 78 134 1.00
43 Randolph Fitch 9 9 39 24 51 49 39 52 140 0.10
44 New Providence Kimber 10 6 47 61 40 46 60 35 141 0.10
45 Southern Regiona New 10 8 68 82 55 48 40 56 144 0.10
46 Northern Highlan Pooley 14 2 24 87 18 31 97 18 146 0.10
47 Immaculata Waterm 11 6 37 46 39 50 65 34 149 0.10
48 Ridge Waterm 7 10 48 36 63 60 28 62 150 0.10
49 Lenape Olympi 8 8 69 89 62 53 43 55 151 0.10
50 Voorhees Kimber 10 9 51 50 57 55 44 57 156 0.10
51 Rumson-Fair Have New 10 2 44 106 21 35 103 20 158 0.10
52 East Brunswick Bianch 9 9 56 53 65 54 54 67 175 0.10
53 Bergen Catholic Gibbs 9 9 41 31 47 45 84 47 176 0.10
54 Eastern Olympi 7 9 85 86 73 59 51 66 176 0.10
55 Fair Lawn Gibbs 3 13 66 16 89 66 23 89 178 0.10
56 St Joseph Montva Rizk 5 11 67 39 85 61 34 84 179 0.10
57 Caldwell Kimber 14 6 43 84 38 57 85 38 180 0.10
58 Nutley Rizk 6 9 64 45 61 64 57 60 181 0.10
59 Hopewell Valley Bianch 10 9 53 57 56 56 73 58 187 0.10
60 Howell Curcio 6 9 71 64 68 62 49 76 187 0.10
61 Princeton Day Bianch 10 5 45 62 41 44 106 37 187 0.10
62 Moorestown Frien New 6 6 77 99 25 58 105 25 188 0.10
63 Notre Dame Curcio 8 6 57 67 49 43 96 49 188 0.10
64 Pennington Bianch 6 10 76 54 83 65 45 80 190 0.10
65 Princeton HS Pitt 5 12 50 10 58 51 75 65 191 0.10
66 St Joseph Metuch Pitt 6 13 63 43 86 74 31 87 192 0.10
67 Hillsborough Pitt 3 16 65 19 95 73 25 99 197 0.10
68 Millburn Rizk 10 9 59 70 66 75 64 64 203 0.10
69 New Egypt Olympi 9 9 83 107 69 63 72 68 203 0.10
70 Hanover Park Waterm 4 12 55 27 80 81 41 82 204 0.10
71 Watchung Hills Kimber 9 9 58 63 67 67 69 69 205 0.10
72 Winslow Twp Olympi 7 9 86 105 76 71 66 72 209 0.10
73 Bayley Ellard Kimber 6 8 78 69 64 68 79 63 210 0.10
74 Indian Hills Pooley 7 10 82 65 74 77 62 74 213 0.10
75 Jefferson Twp Pooley 8 9 75 71 60 79 76 59 214 0.10
76 Camden Catholic Olympi 7 9 89 104 72 72 74 70 216 0.10
77 North Hunterdon Pitt 2 16 72 22 100 83 33 100 216 0.10
78 North Brunswick Curcio 8 10 61 74 82 76 59 83 218 0.10
79 Roxbury Waterm 3 14 81 33 91 90 37 91 218 0.10
80 Jackson Memorial New 9 6 74 111 48 69 104 50 223 0.10
81 Vernon Pooley 10 5 49 94 44 70 111 42 223 0.10
82 St Peter's Prep Kimber 8 8 60 78 59 78 90 61 229 0.10
83 Livingston Waterm 2 17 79 30 101 95 38 102 235 0.10
84 Old Bridge Bianch 2 16 98 48 111 89 36 111 236 0.10
85 Governor Livings Kimber 8 9 70 88 71 84 86 71 241 0.10
86 Monsignor Donova Curcio 2 11 101 58 90 91 61 90 242 0.10
87 Newark Academy Kimber 6 9 73 75 78 82 87 77 246 0.10
88 Dwight-Englewood Pooley 5 6 84 96 53 87 107 54 248 0.10
89 Rutgers Prep Curcio 7 10 80 98 84 88 78 85 251 0.10
90 Blair Academy Rizk 4 13 88 40 70 80 100 73 253 0.10
91 Morristown Waterm 1 17 91 25 105 96 53 106 255 0.10
92 Toms River South New 6 9 90 110 79 86 91 79 256 0.10
93 Toms River East New 4 9 96 101 81 85 92 81 258 0.10
94 Vineland Olympi 1 15 107 72 110 97 56 105 258 0.10
95 Pope John XXIII Pooley 5 9 87 79 75 92 93 75 260 0.10
96 Clifton Rizk 1 13 93 41 97 98 68 97 263 0.10
97 Paramus Catholic Rizk 3 16 102 56 107 99 55 110 264 0.10
98 Paul VI Haddonfi Olympi 4 12 100 102 94 94 82 92 268 0.10
99 Toms River North New 4 10 95 103 87 93 95 86 274 0.10
100 Bernards Kimber 2 15 99 68 108 100 77 107 284 0.10
101 Ewing Township New 1 10 108 90 88 102 102 88 292 0.10
102 Holy Cross-Delra Olympi 1 15 106 92 109 104 81 109 294 0.10
103 Edison Bianch 1 15 103 59 106 105 83 108 296 0.10
104 West Orange New 5 12 92 97 93 103 99 94 296 0.10
105 DePaul Catholic Pooley 4 13 94 91 99 101 98 98 297 0.10
106 Lawrence Curcio 1 14 105 80 103 107 89 103 299 0.10
107 St Benedicts Pre Kimber 2 14 97 76 102 106 94 101 301 0.10
108 Oratory Prep Kimber 1 12 110 85 98 108 101 95 304 0.10
109 Ranney School New 0 11 111 109 92 110 109 93 312 0.10
110 Bergen Tech Pooley 1 12 104 100 96 109 108 96 313 0.10
111 Morris Catholic Pooley 0 14 109 108 104 111 110 104 325 0.10
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